3b Panel 2
SEATTLE PORT COMMISSION PANEL DISCUSSION Airport Master Planning C.F. Booth Director LeighFisher Consultants February 23, 2016 Master Planning Trends General Remarks on Industry Trends Long-term aviation activity forecasts Industry and world events related to aviation activity Airfield/airspace Terminal Ground transportation Commercial development Technology Sustainability Airport Master Planning 2 Master Planning Trends Forecast Passenger Growth, by Region, 2014 - 2035 (a) 5.0% 4.5% 4.5% 4.1% 4.0% 4.0% 3.9% 3.5% 3.3% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.7% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% U.S. Domestic (b) United States-Atlantic United States-Latin United States-Pacific United States-Canada World (c) America (c) (c) (c) (a) Represents the compound average annual percent change for passengers. (b) Includes U.S. mainline and regional airlines. Source: U.S. Department of Transportation, FAA Aerospace Forecast, Fiscal Years 2015 -2035, March 2015, www.faa.gov. Airport Master Planning 3 Master Planning Trends Historical and Forecast Air Cargo Growth Between North America and Selected Regions (a) Historical 2003-2013 Forecast 2013-2033 6% 5.4% 5.2% 5% 4.7% 4% 3.1% 3% 2.6% 2.5% 2.3% 2.1% 2% 1% 0.6% 0% World Asia-North America Europe-North America Intra-North America Latin America-North America -1% -1.6% -2% (a) Represents the compound average annual percent change for air cargo. (b) Source: Boeing Corporation, World Air Cargo Forecast, 2014 -2015, www.boeing.com. Airport Master Planning 4 Houston George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH) Overview Physical Characteristics Airport size (acres): 11,000 acres Number of gates: 129 Number of runways: 5 Activity (2014) Enplaned passengers: 21.5 million 53% connecting 25% international Enplaned cargo: 430,000 metric tons Aircraft operations: 503,000 Airport Master Planning 5 Houston George Bush Intercontinental Airport Master Plan Issues International facilities (new international terminal being developed) Terminal modernizationTerminal A modernization in project definition stage of development Airfield capacitytwo new runways and accompanying taxiways considered Curbside congestion Parking Airport Master Planning 6 Detroit International Airport Overview Physical Characteristics Airport size (acres): 6,200 acres Number of gates: 131 Number of runways: 6 Activity (2014) Enplaned passengers: 16.7 million 47% connecting 8% international Enplaned cargo: 193,000 metric tons Aircraft operations: 379,000 Airport Master Planning 7 Detroit International Airport Master Plan Issues Access congestion, roadway design, and distribution of demand Location for consolidated rental car facility Optimum runway and taxiway configuration Repurposing vs demolishing under-used facilities Commercial development Airport Master Planning 8 San Diego International Airport Overview Physical Characteristics Airport size (acres): 660 acres Number of gates: 51 Number of runways: 1 Activity (2014) Enplaned passengers: 10.1 million 6% connecting 3% international Enplaned cargo: 162,000 metric tons Aircraft operations: 194,000 Airport Master Planning 9 San Diego International Airport Master Plan Issues How to replace aging Terminal 1 and maintain operations during construction Development limitations due to the airport's small acreage, and presence of seismic fault lines and protected bird species on airport Mitigate airport-related traffic impacts on city streets Big issue not addressed in master plan--single runway airfield will reach capacity in 20 years Airport Master Planning 10 Portland International Airport Overview Physical Characteristics Activity (2014) Airport size (acres): Enplaned passengers: 2,300 acres 8.4 million Number of gates: 15% connecting 68 4% international Number of runways: Enplaned cargo: 3 216,000 metric tons Aircraft operations: 218,000 Airport Master Planning 11 Portland International Airport Master Plan Issues Terminal development concept centralized vs. decentralized Capacity of roadway intersections Improved productivity of cargo-related parcels Permanent land use designation Airport Master Planning 12 Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Overview Physical Characteristics Activity (2014) Airport size (acres): Enplaned passengers: 2,300 acres 21.1 million Number of gates: 26% connecting 83 10% international Number of runways: Enplaned cargo: 3 333,000 metric tons Aircraft operations: 381,000 Airport Master Planning 13 Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Master Plan Issues International arrivals facility Long-term terminal concept Gates Airfield Roadway and curbside capacity Cargo capacity Sustainable development Airport Master Planning 14 Summary Airport Comparisons Physical Characteristics 2014 Activity Key Percentages Enplaned Size Cargo Connecting International Airport Runways Gates Passengers Operations (acres) (metric tons) Passengers Passengers (millions) IAH 11,000 5 129 20.6 461,000 500,000 55% 24% DTW 6,224 6 131 16.5 202,000 393,000 48% 9% SAN 661 1 51 10.1 156,000 192,000 4% 3% PDX 2,300 3 68 8.0 208,000 216,000 15% 3% SEA 2,300 3 83 21.2 319,000 340,000 26% 10% Airport Master Planning 15 Questions Airport Master PlanningC.F. Booth, Director, LeighFisher ConsultantsFebruary 23, 2016
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