9a REVISED Initiative 1631 Memo
COMMISSION AGENDA MEMORANDUM Item No. 9a BRIEFING ITEM Date of Meeting October 9, 2018 DATE: October 2, 2018 TO: Stephen P. Metruck, Executive Director FROM: Eric ffitch, Manager, State Government Relations Manager SUBJECT: Presentation on Washington Initiative 1631, state carbon "pollution fee" proposal BALLOT TITLE: Initiative Measure No. 1631 concerns pollution. This measure would charge pollution fees on sources of greenhouse gas pollutants and use the revenue to reduce pollution, promote clean energy, and address climate impacts, under oversight of a public board. [As filed March 13, 2018: An Act relating to reducing pollution by investing in clean air, clean energy, clean water, healthy forests, and healthy communities by imposing a fee on large emitters based on their pollution; and adding a new chapter to Title 70 RCW.] EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Commissioners have asked staff to recommend a position on Initiative 1631, the state ballot initiative that would impose a "pollution fee," set to be considered by Washington state voters in the upcoming November 6, 2018, election. This memo seeks to: - Summarize the specifics of Initiative 1631 - Recap Commission-adopted state environmental policy objectives Commission objectives: - Reduce greenhouse gas emissions associated with Port of Seattle operations and the operations of our tenants/business lines - Promote public policy that leads to the large-scale adoption of sustainable aviation fuels, and other renewable fuels, consistent with recent Commission motion - Demonstrate leadership in addressing the underlying causes of climate change and adapting our operations to meet that challenge Background on Initiative 1631: On January 10, 2018, Senator Carlyle introduced a bill in the Washington State Legislature to put a price on carbon emissions. That bill was developed in concert with Governor Inslee and his staff, and if enacted would have resulted in a $20/ton tax on carbon emissions beginning July 1, 2019. The Port of Seattle Commission endorsed the broad policy proposal in a letter sent from Commission President Gregoire to Senator Carlyle and Governor Inslee on February 10, 2018. Template revised April 12, 2018. COMMISSION AGENDA Briefing Item No. _9a_ Page 2 of 7 Meeting Date: October 9, 2018 SB 6203 passed the Senate's Energy, Environment, and Technology Committee by a vote of 6-3, and the Senate Ways and Means Committee by a vote of 13-10. However, despite that progress, a raft of changes made to the initial language at each step in the process, and significant advocacy from the Governor's staff and myriad stakeholders, SB 6203 did not advance for a vote on the full Senate floor. With the failure to advance carbon pricing policy through the legislature, advocates turned to the prospects of a ballot initiative. On March 13, 2018, Initiative 1631 was filed with the Washington State Secretary of State. According to the ballot measure summary, Initiative 1631 seeks to "impose pollution fees on certain large emitters of greenhouse gas pollutants based on rules determining carbon content, starting in 2020." The section below features a high-level summary of that proposal, including notes on how it differs from the Inslee/Carlyle proposal (SB 6203). Overview of I-1631/Comparison to SB 6203: Initiative 1631 SB 6203 (Inslee/Carlyle) Tax/Fee $15/ton, beginning 2020 $20/ton, beginning 2019 Annual increase $2/ton annually, adjusted for 3.5 percent annually, adjusted for inflation inflation Revenue generated $2.24b over next five years $3.3 billion over next four years Clean 70 percent on "clean air and 50 percent on clean energy/transportation clean energy investments" energy/transportation (to include spend: (including transportation-related research on clear energy carbon emissions) technologies; utility scale renewable energy) - 15 percent of this category to reduce energy burden on low income - $50m over four years to help workers transitioning from energy intensive industries Natural resources 25 percent for "clean water and 35 percent for "natural resources healthy forests" (to include investments," including: wildfire risk, flood risk, etc.) - Forest health - Commercial ag/irrigation systems Template revised September 22, 2016. COMMISSION AGENDA Briefing Item No. _9a_ Page 3 of 7 Meeting Date: October 9, 2018 Transitioning 5 percent for "healthy 15 percent to "families who see families/communities? communities" increased cost of living or lost jobs" - Includes: wildfire preparedness; relocating communities on tribal lands impacted by flooding and sea level rise; education programs related to climate change Exemptions - TransAlta coal transition - TransAlta Coal transition power power - Coal facilities closing - Agriculture/timber before 2025 (i.e. Colstrip 1 - Aviation fuels & 2) - Biofuels - Public transportation - Exported fossil fuels and - State-owned vehicles electricity - Aviation fuels - Oil refineries permitted to - Marine fuels retain 10 percent of - On-farm diesel penalty for carbon - U.S. Government reduction projects Total business classes 23 55 exempted Other notes: - Impact to price of diesel fuels under I-1631: According to an article published in the Seattle Times on September 16th, passage of Initiative 1631 would result in an estimated 14 cents per gallon increase in the price of gasoline, and an estimated 15 cents per gallon increase in the cost of diesel. Even with the exemptions for marine fuels and aircraft fuel, passage of the initiative would result in some increased costs for Port of Seattle and Northwest Seaport Alliance operations. Staff from POS and NWSA calculated the estimated annual cost to nonexempt users that are either port tenants, stakeholders, or play some role in the supply chain. Those estimates are briefly summarized as follows: o Total yearly fee for non-exempt sectors, Port of Seattle: $181,201 (this includes potential cost increases to fuel for recreational vessels, which likely fall outside the marine fuels exemption in I-1631) o Total yearly fee for non-exempt sectors, Northwest Seaport Alliance: $3,886,272 Template revised September 22, 2016. COMMISSION AGENDA Briefing Item No. _9a_ Page 4 of 7 Meeting Date: October 9, 2018 - Tax v. fee: The 'fee' legal structure used in Initiative 1631 limits the uses of revenue from the policy to addressing carbon/pollution issues, not broader issues like rural economic development (as in 6203) or tax reform (as in I-732). However, from a pricing perspective, the difference between a fee and tax is not directly relevant. - Oversight of revenue in I-1631: Implementation of I-1631 would be entrusted to a "Public Oversight Board," established within the Executive Office of the Governor. The board would be comprised of fifteen voting members, including: o Chairperson, appointed by the Governor o Six panel co-chairs (of the panels established by the measure) o Four at-large voting members, appointed by the Governor (must include a tribal rep; and a rep from a pollution/health action area) o Commissioner of Public Lands, Director of Department of Ecology, Department of Commerce, and Recreation and Conservation Office Current POS/NWSA positions: To provide brief context to this debate, below you can find the existing Port of Seattle and NWSA legislative policy positions on this issue generally: - Port of Seattle's state legislative agenda for the 2018 session includes the following policy statements: o Policies that promote use of clean energy technology and support a statewide reduction in greenhouse gas emissions, and that can be implemented in ways: that leverage our state's competitiveness; maintain the efficient operation of essential public facilities such as airports and seaports; and support equity between our business partners. o Policies that promote the use of low-carbon fuels for transportation, and otherwise support the continued reduction in the cost of low-carbon energy sources to consumers in the state, including potential legislative changes to allow for electrification of large-scale transportation infrastructure. o State support for partnership with the Port on aviation biofuels, including statelevel actions intended to drive development of biofuels within the state for use at in-state transportation facilities. o Support state actions that promote climate change resilience, and support collaboration with other government agencies in this effort, including a focus on resilience within the transportation network. o Policies that reduce carbon and air pollution emissions for passengers and employees traveling to and from Port facilities, including promoting improving the efficient efficiency of public transit transportation improvements, public transit, and increasing the availability of low carbon fuels. - The Northwest Seaport Alliance's state legislative agenda for 2018 includes the following policy statement: Template revised September 22, 2016. COMMISSION AGENDA Briefing Item No. _9a_ Page 5 of 7 Meeting Date: October 9, 2018 o Environmental Policies: Support environmental policies based on science that are achievable, verifiable and provide substantive environmental benefit, and can be implemented in ways that minimize negative impacts on competitiveness and cargo diversion. o Sustainability: Support funding for environmental projects at seaports that result in substantive and measurable sustainable benefits, while aiding economic development. o Climate Change: Support funding for environmental projects at seaports that result in substantive and measurable greenhouse gas and black carbon emissions reductions and improved resiliency of port infrastructure and equipment in the face of climate change. Support efforts to reduce greenhouse gas and black carbon emissions provided those efforts do not result in a consequential loss of cargo volumes in the gateway; should these efforts generate additional revenue for the government (such as through a mechanism like a carbon tax), support efforts to invest this revenue into climate change adaptation, further emission reductions, energy conservation and transportation and freight mobility infrastructure. Glossary of terms related to carbon policy proposals Carbon policy definitions: Because the ubiquitous discussion of carbon policy in recent months and years has led to the frequent conflation or interchanging of policy terms that can have different meanings in practice, staff consider it useful to include a brief glossary of the terms, at the very least in order to ensure uniformity in the context of our internal policy discussion: - Carbon tax: Widely defined as a tax or a fee on the act of emitting carbon through the combustion of fossil fuels. This would be imposed by a government entity, and collected using existing tax-collection mechanisms. The tax is paid upstream, at the point where fuels are put into the stream of commerce (or imported into the tax jurisdiction). Fuel suppliers and processors are free to pass along the cost of the tax to the extent that market conditions allow. Placing a tax on carbon gives consumers and producers a monetary incentive to reduce their carbon dioxide emissions. As a policy tool, the carbon tax is intended to provide an economic incentive for the adoption of energy sources with lower carbon emissions through higher pricing of fossil fuels. - Low carbon fuel standard: Government policy that puts a limit on the amount of greenhouse gas emissions that can come from a single "unit" of energy source, usually limited to transportation fuels. That limit is sometimes called a "carbon intensity baseline" (in California, "carbon intensity standards"). Fuels that have low carbon Template revised September 22, 2016. COMMISSION AGENDA Briefing Item No. _9a_ Page 6 of 7 Meeting Date: October 9, 2018 intensity emit fewer greenhouse gases, and therefore would fall under that government-approved baseline. In a typical low-carbon fuel standard policy program, those fuels earn credits that represent how far under the government-set level their emission fall. Whereas those fuels that emit more than the government-prescribed limit would be penalized. Compared with a carbon tax that usually applies to "tailpipe" or combustion emissions, low carbon fuel standards encompass the entire lifecycle emissions (aka carbon intensity) of fuels. - Cap-and-trade: Government policy that puts a limit on the amount of greenhouse gas emissions that can come from sectors of the economy such as energy use and fuel production. Market participants within those sectors have individual caps established as an extension of the overall cap and must work to reduce their emissions to level establish in their cap. Those that are able to reduce below the cap are able to resell their "allowances" to other market participants that are unable or unwilling to reduce their emissions to fall within their cap. Other Regional Approaches to Carbon Policy Summary: The Governor's proposed carbon tax from the 2018 legislative session, as well as the "pollution fee" proposed by Initiative 1631, is most similar to the BC program, which taxes fuel when it is purchased. However, the BC program does not include electricity. Both the WA proposals and the BC program are based on a set tax per metric ton (MT) of CO2 for conventional fuels. The carbon intensity of alternative or bio-/renewable-blended fuels are not factored into the equation. Alternative fuels are excluded from the tax. Although the BC tax rate has been static for 6 years, it is scheduled to begin climbing again in 2018. The OR and CA programs are low carbon fuel standards, based on the carbon intensity of each fuel. These programs do not tax carbon; rather, they require fuel distributors to meet carbon intensity standards which become incrementally tougher each year. (The Fitzgibbon low carbon fuel standard proposal from the 2018 legislative session, HB 2338, took this approach.) ATTACHMENTS TO THIS BRIEFING (1) Presentation slides (2) Ballot title letter for Initiative 1631 (3) Complete Initiative 1631 text (4) Letters to Senator Carlyle and Governor Inslee, re: carbon tax proposed in State Legislature, dated February 10, 2018 PREVIOUS COMMISSION ACTIONS OR BRIEFINGS October 24, 2017 The commission approved state legislative and policy priorities for 2018 that included "Supportand advocate for continued state investment in environmental Template revised September 22, 2016. COMMISSION AGENDA Briefing Item No. _9a_ Page 7 of 7 Meeting Date: October 9, 2018 cleanup programs and state-level policies that promote the adoption and implementation of clean energy sources to reduce the state's reliance on fossil fuels and seek to eliminate greenhouse gas emissions." Template revised September 22, 2016.
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