7b. Study Report
Item No. 7b_attach Meeting Date: June 27,2017 February 2017 Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks Prepared for Lake Washington Ship Canal Users Group Prepared by February 2017 Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks Prepared for Lake Washington Ship Canal Users Group Prepared by www.mcdowellgroup.net Table of Contents 0 Executive Summary ....................................................................................................................... 1 Study Purpose and Methodology ................................................................................................ 4 Purpose............................................................................................................................................................................ 4 Methodology................................................................................................................................................................. 4 Report Sponsors........................................................................................................................................................... 5 Profile of the Ballard Locks .......................................................................................................... 6 Ballard Locks Facilities ............................................................................................................................................... 6 Historical Development of the Locks ................................................................................................................... 7 Current Locks Operations ......................................................................................................................................... 8 Locks-Dependent Businesses ................................................................................................................................ 10 Product Shipments .................................................................................................................................................... 12 Ballard Locks Funding .............................................................................................................................................. 13 Role in Seattle Economic Development Planning ......................................................................................... 14 Key Benefits of the Ballard Locks .............................................................................................. 15 Commercial Fishing Industry ................................................................................................................................. 15 Ocean Transport Industry ....................................................................................................................................... 21 Shipyards and Marine Services ............................................................................................................................. 22 Public Safety and Science ....................................................................................................................................... 24 Yacht Moorage and Sales ....................................................................................................................................... 26 Passenger Carriers ..................................................................................................................................................... 29 Construction and Manufacturing ........................................................................................................................ 29 Local Transport ........................................................................................................................................................... 31 Visitor Industry ........................................................................................................................................................... 32 Tribal Access ................................................................................................................................................................ 33 Other Locks-Related Businesses .......................................................................................................................... 33 Economic Impact Analysis .......................................................................................................... 34 Measuring the Value of Locks............................................................................................................................... 35 Ballard Locks Business Contribution .................................................................................................................. 36 Ballard Locks Non-Business Impacts .................................................................................................................. 40 Washington's Maritime Industry Cluster .......................................................................................................... 41 Suggested Value to the Nation Method........................................................................................................... 41 Potential Impacts of Locks Closures or Failures ....................................................................... 43 Cost of Service Disruption ...................................................................................................................................... 43 Probability of an Unplanned Closure ................................................................................................................. 43 Appendix 1 Interviews ............................................................................................................. 47 Appendix 2 Locks Closure Data .............................................................................................. 48 Executive Summary The Hiram M. Chittenden (Ballard) Locks, operated by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) are the busiest locks in the nation in terms of vessel traffic, with more than 40,000 transits annually. More than 1 million tons of shipments move through the Lake Washington Ship Canal and the Ballard Locks each year. The locks' greatest significance, however, is the billiondollar economy it has made possible over its 100-year history, an economy that includes: Source: USACE. A group of 50 core businesses with approximately $120 million in annual payroll and a full-time equivalent employment impact of approximately 3,000 jobs tied directly to the locks. Another estimated 150 businesses benefit in more general ways from the locks and the vessels that use them. A unique freshwater, tide-free marine environment that reduces maintenance costs and prolongs vessel life for an estimated 700 commercial and 4,000 recreational vessels that use the locks for access to Puget Sound. Moorage, services, and saltwater access that annually support an estimated $1.2 billion in gross business sales including commercial fishing companies, shipyards and marine services, yacht and boat sales, freight and shipping services, passenger services, construction, and marinas (see chart below). Gross Sales by Businesses Dependent on the Ballard Locks, 2016 Commercial Fishing $545 million Shipyards/Marine Services $163 million Yacht/Boat Sales $150 million Freight/Shipping Services $109 million Passenger Services $83 million Consruction $50 million Marinas $32 million All Other $59 million Source: McDowell Group estimates. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 1 A Ballard Locks visitor attraction that generates approximately $40 million in spending impacts each year, with more than 1.25 million site visitors, including 150,000 tourists, school children and other passengers who book cruises through the locks each year. A key control point for the water levels in Lake Washington and Lake Union necessary to maintain, among other key infrastructure, the Route 520 and I90 floating bridges and the water and sewer systems that serve Mercer Island's 24,000 residents, as well as approximately 75 miles of residential, municipal and commercial shoreline and moorage in the lakes and the Lake Washington Ship Canal. An access and egress point for equipment and supplies for major infrastructure projects such as renewal of the two Lake Washington floating bridges and removal of excavated muck during construction of a planned Ballard/Wallingford stormwater tunnel. A facility, currently in need of repair and upgrade, that supports water quality and traditional Native American fishing grounds. The Ballard Locks also safeguard an Source: Port of Seattle. investment of more than $125 million in freshwater salmon habitat protection and restoration over last two decades. Rapid access for public safety and scientific vessels between the lakes and Puget Sound that saves money and increases effectiveness. The full economic impact of this complex set of relationships is not addressed in the federal methodology for estimating the "Value to the Nation" (VTN) of USACE infrastructure. To complement the USACE methodology, this study analyzes the unique business and moorage environment made possible by the Ballard Locks and its role in supporting both the local economy and large, multi-state ocean-shipping, commercial fishing, and recreation industries. Other key findings include: A dozen components at the locks have been identified for major repair or replacement. These include the valves used to empty and fill the lock chambers, the miter gates that seal each end of the locks and retain the water level behind them, and the saltwater diffuser well that helps prevent deterioration of water quality on the freshwater side of the locks. Some work has been done, but most projects remain partly or wholly unfunded. An extended, unplanned closure of the locks would have significant negative effects on nearly all the businesses that move vessels, materials or people through the locks or serve customers that do. Most businesses said closures of a week or less would be manageable, but many said a closure of one to three months would mean significant lost business and layoffs. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 2 A major failure of the locks or spillway due to earthquake or uncontrolled flooding could jeopardize billions of dollars in public infrastructure and threaten human life. The potential for such an event is currently under study by USACE. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 3 Study Purpose and Methodology Among the nearly 200 marine locks sites operated nationwide by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE), the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks in the Ballard neighborhood of Seattle are unique. The Ballard Locks, as they are more commonly known, are the only marine link between Seattle's inland lakes, Lake Washington and Lake Union, and Puget Sound. The locks serve more individual vessels than any other locks in the nation: more than 40,000 transits in 2015. This year marks the 100th anniversary of the locks' opening day in 1917, and as the locks reach this important milestone, there is growing concern about making the critical infrastructure upgrades needed for the locks continue operating reliably and safely. Purpose The method prescribed by the federal government to evaluate the funding priority of the nation's various locks systems is based heavily on the gross weight of shipments through the locks. The formula therefore fails to account for most of the infrastructure value provided by the Ballard Locks, which results mainly from its role as a lynchpin for several different economic and infrastructure systems in and around Ballard, the Lake Washington Ship Canal, and Seattle's inland lakes. Those systems include public safety, construction, shipbuilding and marine services, ocean-going tug-and-barge companies, commercial fishing, cruise and charter vessels, and a large recreational boating community. This report describes, and where possible quantifies, the non-shipping-related economic contribution of the Ballard Locks. The report includes a qualitative discussion of the potential economic impacts should a major failure of the locks occur. Methodology Information for this study was obtained from the following sources: Interviews with representatives of more than 50 businesses, business associations, public agencies, and sovereign tribes. A full list of these organizations is provided in the Appendix. Interviews with USACE personnel familiar with locks operations. Spending, employment, and locks usage data provided by the firms and organizations interviewed. USACE data on Ballard Locks usage and operations. Review of past economic studies of the Ballard Locks and other locks systems and dams. USACE budgets, "Value to the Nation" manuals, and other reports. Publicly available economic and demographic data for Washington Congressional Districts 7 and 9, which encompass Lake Union, Lake Washington and South Puget Sound. Alaska Commercial Fisheries Entry Commission (CFEC) data on harvest levels and value for applicable Alaska fishing fleets. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 4 Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife data on commercial fish and crab harvests. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Stock Assessment and Fishery Evaluation reports for federal commercial fishing harvest value, participation, and volume. Recreational boating data collected by the National Marine Manufacturers Association (NMMA), NMMA Canada, Washington Sea Grant, Washington Maritime Federation, City of Seattle, and others. Report Sponsors The study was administered by the Marine Exchange of Puget Sound. The following companies and organizations contributed funds towards this report. Ballard Oil Company City of Kenmore City of Kirkland City of Seattle Coastal Transportation Covich-Williams CSR Marine Ferguson Terminal Foss Maritime Company Fremont Dock Company Kane Environmental Kirby Offshore Marine Lake Union Drydock Company Malone Law Group PS Nautical Landing Marina Northwest Marine Trade Association Northwest Yacht Brokers Association O'Hara Corporation Pacific Fishermen Shipyard Port of Seattle Seattle Marine Business Coalition Stabbert Maritime The American Waterways Operators Vigor Industrial Western Towboat Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 5 Profile of the Ballard Locks Ballard Locks Facilities The Hiram M. Chittenden Locks site includes two sets of locks, a spillway, botanical gardens, and historical buildings that house a visitor center, administrative offices, and maintenance facilities. It is located in Salmon Bay in the Ballard neighborhood of Seattle. The small lock is 30 feet by 150 feet and handles most of the recreational traffic. The large lock is 80 feet by 825 feet. An extra set of miter gates in the center of the large lock allows it to be divided in half to reduce the amount of water needed when vessels do not require the full length, but are still too large for the small lock. The spillway is 235 feet across and incorporates a fish ladder for salmon migration. Pathways allow pedestrians to cross both the spillway and the locks from either side of Salmon Bay and to view locks operations. Figure 1. Map of Ballard Locks Source: USACE. The locks have three formal purposes, described by USACE as follows: To maintain the water level of the fresh water Lake Washington and Lake Union at 20 to 22 feet above sea level. To prevent the mixing of seawater from Puget Sound with the freshwater of the lakes. To move boats from the water level of the lakes to the water level of Puget Sound and vice versa. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 6 Historical Development of the Locks The Hiram M. Chittenden Locks and the Lake Washington Ship Canal were completed in 1917 but were first proposed more than half a century earlier, when the City of Seattle was only three years old.1 The locks and canal were originally conceived to support timber and other heavy industry on Lake Union and Lake Washington and to export coal being quarried to the east of the city. The U.S. Navy also hoped to create freshwater moorage for military vessels. Over the next century, however, Seattle evolved into a very different city from the one its founders would have recognized. Supporting industry and providing freshwater moorage remain key benefits of the locks, but the early visionaries could not have anticipated the complex economic and social systems that would evolve in large part because of the Ballard Locks. While the merits of a canal linking Lake Washington to salt water were being debated, local interests constructed two small canals in the 1880s to connect Lake Washington with Lake Union. Backers of those projects understood, however, that bigger projects and outside funding would be needed if large ships were to transit between the lakes and Puget Sound. When Washington became a state in 1889, Congress agreed to conduct a feasibility study to evaluate various routes. It was completed in 1892, but it was not until 1906 that wrangling over the routes among the various interests was resolved and focus was turned to designing a canal and lock system at the current locations. It was during the final discussions about the particulars of the proposed canal and locks that Hiram M. Chittenden, an experienced member of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, arrived in Seattle. Chittenden quickly determined that although the route was acceptable, the locks being envisioned for the project by the proposed builder would be inadequate. Chittenden led an effort that, in 1910, resulted in authorization from Congress for $2.3 million in funding for the Source: Friends of the Ballard Locks. locks. King County agreed to improve the attendant waterways. Construction began in 1911, the locks closed on July 12, 1916 to allow water in Salmon Bay to rise to 21 feet above mean sea level, and on July 4, 1917, the opening of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks was officially celebrated. 1 Information in this section is based primarily on articles by David B. Williams, for example, Lake Washington Ship Canal (Seattle), (http://www.historylink.org/File/1444) Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 7 Prior to the opening of the new locks, water levels in Lake Washington varied by as much as seven feet due to seasonal variations in rain, snow-melt, and evaporation. The new locks lowered the level of Lake Washington by approximately nine feet and enabled USACE to modulate the water level there and in Lake Union, a function critical to residential and commercial development along the lake and Ship Canal waterfronts ever since. Current Locks Operations The Ballard Locks are the busiest in the nation in terms of the number of vessels that pass through, with more than 40,000 transits in 2015. While the large majority of those vessel transits (82 percent) are by yachts and other pleasure craft, there were approximately Chart 1. Non-Recreational Vessels Using the Locks, 7,500 transits by commercial vessels, including By Vessel Type, 2015 freight barges, local and ocean-going tugs, cruise passenger vessels, public safety and research Cargo/ vessels, and a large component of the Alaska and crew Washington commercial fishing fleets. The vast boats, Other, 25 604 majority of these vessels either moor or obtain Government, regular maintenance and repairs within the Ballard 792 Towboats, Locks. 3,414 The chart at right shows the wide variety of non- Passenger boats/ ferries, 1,094 TOTAL NON-REC. recreational vessels that transited the locks in 2015. VESSELS: 7,500 The most common type of non-recreational vessel was towboat (46 percent), followed by commercial Commercial fishing, fishing vessels (21 percent), passenger boats/ 1,542 ferries (15 percent), government vessels (8 percent), and cargo vessels/crew boats (8 percent). The chart below shows total vessel traffic over the Source: USACE. 2011 to 2015 period, during which traffic stayed fairly steady at between 40,000 and 44,000 vessels. Chart 2. Annual Vessel Traffic through the Ballard Locks (both directions), 2011-2015 43,840 43,236 42,838 40,677 40,558 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: USACE. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 8 The ability to transit at will between Puget Sound and the inland lakes and Ship Canal gave birth to a complex system of businesses that enjoy cost savings from access to the freshwater moorage environment and proximity to each other. The businesses include shipbuilding and repair, boat and yacht sales, moorage, marine transport, commercial fishing, and a host of marine technical and professional services. Finally, the spillway of the Ballard Locks is an important tool for managing and preserving salmon runs and for regulating water depth in Lake Washington and Lake Union, both of which improve safety and Source: Friends of the Ballard Locks. quality of life for all Seattle residents. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 9 Locks-Dependent Businesses The Northwest Marine Trade Association estimates there are 200 businesses that depend in one way or another on the Ballard Locks. Marine Services and Manufacturing. Shipyards, marine services, marine products, construction products, and manufacturers are located along the shores of Salmon Bay, the Lake Washington Ship Canal, Lake Union, and Lake Washington. Many professional services firms, such as naval architects, attorneys, insurance brokers, and others, have located Source: Robin Pitt; Port of Seattle. near the locks to serve these companies. Washington and Alaska Fishing Fleets. An estimated 700 commercial fishing vessels participating in more than a dozen different fisheries depend on the locks for access to marine services and freshwater moorage. Traditional and Customary Use. The locks are used to control salt-water intrusion into the freshwater lake environment and to track and help manage salmon runs. Three Native Source: Robin Pitt; Port of Seattle. American tribes exercise traditional fishing rights at the locks. West Coast Marine Transport Companies. Four major shipping companies have key operations inside the Ballard Locks. Passenger Cruise Companies. Ships moored and maintained inside the locks carry several thousand passengers annually on tours to destinations in Alaska, Canada and Washington State. Yacht Sales and Marinas. The large, Source: UnCruise Adventures. protected, freshwater area inside the locks gives these businesses an ideal environment that is close to upscale population centers but with ready access to Puget Sound and beyond. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 10 Scientific Research Vessels. Three research vessels, two owned by the University of Washington, make regular passages through the locks from their freshwater moorage inside. The Washington Department of Fish & Wildlife also uses the locks. Recreational Visitors. The locks are one of the most popular public sites in Seattle, with approximately 1,250,000 visitors each year. Approximately 150,000 visitors, residents and school children transit the locks annually on local sightseeing cruises. Source: University of Washington. Property Owners. Owners of houseboats, private docks, marinas and other waterfront property depend on the locks spillway to regulate water levels in the lakes. Without the locks' spillway, more than 70 miles of residential, commercial and municipal shoreline would be subject to variations in water level of up to 7 feet from rain and snow run-off. Recreational Boaters. Owners and passengers of yachts and other saltwater- Source: Friends of the Ballard Locks. capable recreational vessels made 16,000 trips through the locks in each direction in 2015 to access saltwater boating activities and cruising grounds or to obtain repairs, maintenance and other services. The General Public. Several public safety agencies depend on the locks to move vessels and equipment between the lakes and Seattle's saltwater waterfront, both for routine patrols and to respond to emergencies. The function of the locks as a regulator of lake depth is also critical to the functioning of major public infrastructure, including the Route 520 and I-90 bridges across Lake Washington and the water and sewer utilities serving Mercer Island. These bridges are critical transportation infrastructure for the area, carrying 147,000 and 64,000 vehicles, respectively, each weekday.2 Finally, the locks facilitate movement of equipment and materials for major infrastructure projects, including barging out the equivalent of tens of thousands of truckloads of waste material from the Ballard/Wallingford stormwater tunnel scheduled for construction between 2018 and 2024. 2 Seattle Department of Transportation (www.seattle.gov). Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 11 Product Shipments A wide variety of products are transported through the locks every year, representing 1,088 KT (thousand tons). The most significant commodity in terms of weight is sand and gravel, representing 77 percent of total tonnage in 2015 (838,000 tons). Other common products include 47,000 tons of manufactured products ("not otherwise specified"); 46,000 tons of fish (including shellfish); 40,000 tons of ships and boats (not under their own power); 39,000 tons of machinery, electrical machinery, and bulkheads; and 22,000 tons of pontoon pipe. Source: Friends of the Ballard Locks. Additional commodities include cement and concrete, fabricated metal products, pallets with multi-commodities, electrical machinery, and dredged material. Chart 3. Tonnage Through the Locks, 2015: Chart 4. Tonnage Through the Locks, 2015: Sand/Gravel vs. All Other (KT) Commodities Other Than Sand/Gravel (KT) Dredged Electrical Material, 3 All Other, 11 Pallets w/ Mach., 4 Multi- Commodities, 7 Fab. Metal Manufac. Products, 13 Prod., 47 All Other Commodities, Cement and 250 Concrete, 16 Sand and Gravel, Pontoon Pipe, 22 838 Fish, 46 TOTAL TONNAGE: Machinery, 1,088 KT Bulkheads, 39 Ships and Boats, 40 Source: USACE. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 12 Ballard Locks Funding For Fiscal Year 2017, the President's Budget provides a total of $4.62 billion in gross discretionary funding for the USACE Civil Works program. Nearly one-half ($2.7 billion) is allocated to operations and maintenance, while one-quarter ($1.1 billion) is allocated to construction.3 The remainder is distributed among a variety of categories, as seen in the following table. Table 1. USACE Civil Works Program, Fiscal Year 2017 Budget Amount Operations and Maintenance $2.7 billion Construction $1.1 billion Mississippi River and Tributaries $222 million Regulatory Program $200 million Expenses $180 million Formerly Utilized Sites Remedial $103 million Action Program (FUSRAP) Investigations $85 million Flood Control and Coastal $30 million Emergencies Office of the Assistant Secretary of $5 million the Army for Civil Works Total $4.62 billion Source: USACE. The budget allocation for the Ballard Locks and Lake Washington Ship Canal in FY2017 is $6.4 million for maintenance and $5.9 million for operations, or a total budget of $12.3 million, approximately the same as FY2016 and FY2015. Table 2. Lake Washington Ship Canal/Ballard Locks, Fiscal Year 2017 Budget Amount Operations $6.4 million Maintenance $5.9 million Total $12.3 million Source: USACE. Non-routine work covered by the 2015 budget included: Phase 1 of pump plant replacement Design of the emergency closure system crane replacement Initial design to replace filling culvert valves Minor rehabilitation of the Cavanaugh house 3President's Fiscal 2017 Budget for U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Civil Works released, February 9, 2016. (http://www.usace.army.mil/Media/News-Releases/News-Release-Article-View/Article/652668/presidents-fiscal-2017-budget-for-usarmy-corps-of-engineers-civil-works-releas /) Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 13 In 2016, non-routine work included completion of the emergency closure system crane design, continued design for the culvert valve replacement, dredging, and initial work to replace the dewatering pumping plant, as well as continued rehabilitation of the Cavanaugh house. Funding in 2017 includes $3.9 million to complete the new emergency closure system crane.4 The following table shows total operations and maintenance budgets for the Lake Washington Ship Canal/Ballard Locks for the past seven years. In addition to regular maintenance, funding for non-routine repairs and upgrades to individual locks components are included in these budgets. Table 3. Lake Washington Ship Canal/Ballard Locks Operations and Maintenance Budgets, 2011 2017 (in nominal dollars) Amount 2011 $8.0 million 2012 $10.5 million 2013 $8.6 million 2014 $11.6 million 2015 $12.4 million 2016 $12.1 million 2017 $12.3 million Source: USACE Civil Works Budget. Role in Seattle Economic Development Planning Seattle's latest Community Development Plan, adopted in October 2016, addresses the neighborhood around the Ballard Locks, which it calls the "Ballard/Interbay Northend Manufacturing & Industrial Center." The plan makes clear that the marine services hub made possible by the locks are key to the neighborhood's future. The Community Development Plan calls for the area to be maintained as a working waterfront, with improved utilization by marine/fishing, high tech and small manufacturing businesses. Source: Port of Seattle. The remainder of this report describes the role and benefits of the Ballard Locks in more detail and provides estimates of the economic value of the functions for which data is available. 4Civil Works FY2017 Budget Justification Information, Volume II, Operations & Maintenance with National Program O&M (http://cdm16021.contentdm.oclc.org/cdm/compoundobject/collection/p16021coll6/id/12/rec/23) Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 14 Key Benefits of the Ballard Locks This section of the report describes the key components of the economic ecosystem made possible by the Ballard Locks. Businesses and organizations that depend on the locks are grouped by primary industry/activity, although some businesses and organizations are involved in more than one component. The businesses and organizations referenced here are those identified as making regular use of the locks in day-to-day operations. According to representatives of local business associations, they represent perhaps onequarter to one-third of businesses in the area that are to some degree dependent on the locks. Information about individual firms was compiled from a combination of personal interviews and company websites. The study team conducted a total of approximately 55 interviews with locks users. Commercial Fishing Industry Overview and Economic Significance Because very little fish processing occurs in the Lake Washington Ship Canal or Lake Union, the fishing fleets carry only small amounts of cargo when they transit the locks. The locks, however, play a key role in mooring and maintaining vessels from all the major Pacific Northwest fisheries. In 2016, 271 unique commercial fishing vessels over 40 feet in length made approximately 1,600 transits of the Ballard Locks. More than 200 of those vessels (80 percent) are homeported in Washington State. Approximately 40 percent of all the fishing vessels over 58 feet long that are active in the major North Pacific/Alaska commercial fisheries are moored or serviced at least once annually in the freshwater environment inside the locks. Vessels under 58 feet, primarily gillnetters and seiners, typically moor inside the locks for longer periods during the winter. Approximately 30 to 40 gillnetters and seiners moored behind the locks engage in Washington fisheries. They transit regularly to fish openings in and around Puget Sound. Source: Port of Seattle. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 15 Vessels that transited the locks earned in excess of $500 million in 2016. Fishing fleets that use the locks regularly include the following:5 Amendment 80 Fleet The fleet consists of approximately 17 trawl catcher/processors averaging 178 feet in length and targeting yellowfin sole, Pacific Ocean perch, and other species. Twelve of the vessels used the Ballard Locks in 2016 for a total of 69 transits. Earnings for those 12 vessels in 2016 were an estimated $162.9 million. American Fisheries Act Fleet Source: Iquique. The fleet harvests mainly pollock and includes catcher vessels, catcher/processors, and large floating processors. Forty-one catcher vessels and two catcher/processors used the locks in 2016 for a total of 234 transits. The earnings by those vessels in 2016 are estimated at $98.4 million for the catcher vessels and $32.4 million for the catcher/processors, for a total of $120.8 million. Bering Sea Crab Fleet In addition to king crab and two species of Tanner crab, many of these vessels also fish for cod and tender for salmon in the summer. In 2015, there were 117 active vessels, with an average length of 118 feet. In 2016, 33 crab vessels used the locks for a total of 188 transits. Those 33 vessels earned an estimated $75.9 million. Source: Alaska Bering Sea Crabbers. Freezer Longline Fleet The freezer longline fleet is composed of 29 vessels that harvest mainly Pacific cod in the Bering Sea and Aleutian Islands. In 2016, 16 vessels from this fleet used the locks 71 times and earned an estimated $94.1 million. Alaska Salmon Fleet The salmon fleet consists of trollers, gillnetters and seiners. Trollers typically do not travel between Seattle and Alaska and therefore do not use the locks. Gillnet vessels made 295 transits through the locks in 2016, and purse seine vessels used the locks 413 times. These smaller 5 Estimates of fisheries participation and earnings were developed by McDowell Group using USACE locks transit records, Alaska Commercial Fisheries Entry Commission (CFEC) data, and National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS) data. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 16 commercial vessels, typically between 35 and 58 feet in length, primarily engage in salmon fishing. Some of these vessels also fish in Puget Sound (see Puget Sound Fleets, below). In 2016, 47 purse seine vessels active in Alaska used the locks 298 times. It is likely a portion of these vessels were also active in other fisheries in Puget Sound or along the coast of Washington and Oregon. Estimates of the earnings for these vessels are not readily available. Halibut and Sablefish Longline Fleet In 2016, 19 vessels primarily targeting halibut, cod, and sablefish in Alaska, Washington, and Oregon transited the locks 50 times. The average length of these vessels is approximately 70 feet. Several are wooden schooners more than 100 years old. It is not possible with available data to estimate earnings per vessel, due to the wide range of vessel characteristics and quota holdings. However, in 2015, Washington residents earned a total of $51.3 million from harvest of halibut and sablefish in Alaska. Puget Sound Fleet Commercial fishermen in Puget Sound are active in a variety of salmon, crab, and other fisheries. The number of local commercial fishing vessels that use the locks regularly is estimated to be at least 50 based on information from locks operators and interviews with local fishing associations. Lock transits (but not earnings) for these vessels are included in the "Alaska Salmon" totals above. Puget Sound salmon and Dungeness crab harvests typically total between $30 million and $40 million in earnings (ex-vessel value). Federal Pacific Northwest Fleet In addition to being active in Alaska fisheries, many commercial fishing vessels homeported in Seattle harvest groundfish, crab, and others species in federally managed fisheries off the West Coast. In 2015, estimated landings for this region totaled nearly 500 million pounds, worth $336.2 million. Approximately 16 percent of the Washington harvest was delivered to the Puget Sound area.6,7 Source: Port of Seattle. Tribal Fishing Fleet A representative of the Muckleshoot Indian Tribe Fisheries Division estimates that, depending on salmon run sizes and prices, between 20 and 80 tribal fishing vessels a year use the locks. In recent years, participation has been at the lower end of the range due to smaller runs. In addition to salmon, Washington's tribal fishing fleet receive an allocation of the West Coast groundfish harvest. Treaty allocations of West Coast groundfish were worth $4.4 million in 2015 for 4.1 million pounds of groundfish.8 An unknown amount of tribal fishing vessels harvesting groundfish use services located within the locks. 6 Pacific Fishery Management Council, Status of the Pacific Coast Groundfish Fishery, 2016, http://www.pcouncil.org/wpcontent /uploads/GroundfishSAFEtables/GF_SAFE_%201.htm 7 Ibid. 8 Ibid. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 17 Dependence on the Locks The commercial fishing fleets depend on the locks for access to centralized goods and services. Obtaining a full range of repair, maintenance, equipment, provisioning, and other marine products and services in a single location saves money and time. Access to freshwater moorage also saves money. The less corrosive environment reduces hull and equipment maintenance and extends vessels' working lives. In addition to being in saltwater, the main commercial moorage alternative to the Ship Canal, Pier 91 on the Seattle Source: Port of Seattle. waterfront, has limited capacity, caters to large cruise ships, and allows for only limited types of marine services. Key Firms and Organizations Fishermen's Terminal Located inside the locks in Salmon Bay, Fishermen's Terminal is a key piece of infrastructure for the fishing fleets and other commercial vessels as well. The terminal was built in 1914 as a center for moorage and marine services in large part because of the opportunity presented by the locks to concentrate services in a freshwater environment. The terminal provides moorage for more than 500 vessels, all of which are Source: Port of Seattle. primarily operated in saltwater. Tenants are mainly commercial fishing vessels, but also include eight small cruise ships, 40 tugs/workboats, and 10 charter vessels. Fishermen's Terminal collects approximately $2 million in moorage fees annually. The terminal's FY2016 total operating budget was $5.6 million. Alaska Bering Sea Crabbers ABSC is a harvester association that represents 70 percent of quota shareholders in the Bering Sea Tanner and king crab fisheries. The crab fleet consists of approximately 75 vessels in an average year, and the majority either homeport in Seattle or go there periodically to access services and repairs. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 18 Freezer Longline Coalition The Coalition represents approximately 30 active hook-and-line catcher/ processor vessels between 120 and 190 feet. The majority are homeported in Seattle, but they operate year-round and spend time in port only for maintenance and repairs. They dock either at Fishermen's Terminal or the fishing companies' private docks. Roughly half the fleet transits the locks annually for haul-outs or repairs. Source: Blue North; Kevin Suver. Groundfish Forum The Groundfish Forum represents the Amendment 80 fleet, which consists of 17 active vessels. Several of these fishing companies' operations are based in Lake Union (US Seafoods and O'Hara Corporation, for example). Iquique and Ocean Peace are based at Pier 90/91, but use the Locks to access maintenance services. Purse Seine Vessel Owners' Association PSVOA is the largest commercial fishing trade organization on the West Coast. There are 400 members, with up to 40 of them homeported in Seattle at Fishermen's Terminal. Washington Trollers Association - The WTA represents 100 vessels and 40 associate support businesses. There are about 158 salmon troll licenses altogether. The vessels homeport all over Washington, some in Oregon and California. About 60-80 homeport in Puget Sound because their owners live in Seattle. About half of the trollers have wooden boats and require shipyards that specialize in wooden vessel maintenance, several of which Source: Port of Seattle. are located inside the locks. Aleutian Spray Fisheries The headquarters for this family-owned fish company is inside the locks, and they depend on businesses along the Ship Canal for docking space and marina services. Eight of their fishing vessels transit the locks twice a year, and several mega yachts transit the locks and lease space at their docks to transfer passengers. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 19 Coastal Alaska Premier Seafoods This company is a subsidiary of one of the six Alaska Community Development Quota (CDQ) Groups, Coastal Villages Region Fund. It homeports the majority of its vessels in Lake Union at their headquarter docks. Icicle Seafoods Icicle Seafoods, a seafood processing company, moors three 300- to 400-foot-long floating processors and a 117-foot crab/tender in Salmon Bay on Lake Union. These vessels work in Alaska most of the year but come back through the locks for maintenance. The company's fleet of 10 trawlers operates in the Gulf of Alaska and Bering Sea but transits the locks occasionally for repairs and maintenance. Roughly half come through the locks in any given year, as does their 180-foot tug, Impala, which can haul 14, 40-foot containers of seafood. Ferguson Terminal The terminal, located where 9th Avenue meets the Ship Canal, provides parking, moorage and storage for boats, cars, RVs and trucks. Icicle Seafoods, above, leases moorage there. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 20 Ocean Transport Industry Overview and Economic Significance All four of the ocean transport companies interviewed have sizeable operations, primarily between Seattle and Alaska, and all four use the locks to access the Ship Canal and Lake Union for moorage and services. Communities all along the Alaska coast, and inland as well, depend on the freight carried by these barges, which typically run weekly during the months when Alaska harbors are ice-free. Deliveries in the late fall are especially critical to communities in far-western Alaska because they include fuel and supplies needed for the duration of the winter. Three of the four companies described below estimated a total of $40 million in revenue associated with vessels that use the locks. The fourth declined to provide an estimate. Dependence on the Locks Ocean-going freight shippers have direct and indirect dependence on the Ballard Locks. Tug and barge companies may not carry cargo through the locks (most of their barges are too large to fit through the locks). However, all use the locks to moor and maintain tugboats in the Ship Canal or Lake Union. An operator of a fleet of five small freighters routinely carries freight through the locks, including out-bound supplies and inbound fish. Key Firms and Organizations Western Towboat Western operates 23 tug boats. Their main shop, offices and yard are inside the locks. They make weekly trips between Seattle and Alaska and also keep and build boats at their shipyard. They use the locks every day. Source: Western Towboat. Foss Maritime The largest tug and barge company on the West Coast is headquartered in Seattle and has offices in six other cities. Foss provides harbor and ocean towing along with a wide range of other maritime services. They operate a shipyard inside the Ballard Locks (see below). The company owns 56 tugs, 8 service vessels, and 25 barges. All the vessels that use their Seattle shipyard must transit the locks. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 21 Coastal Transportation Coastal Transportation is a major carrier of freight to Southwest Alaska. Their fleet of five self-sustaining freighter vessels, ranging from 225 to 244 feet, make weekly trips from Seattle to Dutch Harbor, the Pribilof Islands, and the Aleutian Islands. Coastal is the largest carrier of break-bulk freight through the locks. They serve a broad range of customers including municipal governments, major seafood companies, and smaller, mostly fishing-related, companies. Kirby Corp Kirby operates tugs and barges that primarily carry oil on offshore routes. Their Seattle facility, behind the locks on the shore of Salmon Bay, is an operations center and a maintenance yard. They lease an office building from the Port of Seattle and dock space on the Ship Canal for tug boats getting repairs and maintenance or laying up between trips. Shipyards and Marine Services Overview and Economic Significance Including the Western Towboat and Foss Maritime yards mentioned above, there are eight shipyards and several smaller boatyards located behind the locks. All the vessels they build or service must transit the Ballard Locks. Marine services companies have developed behind the locks because of the shipbuilding/repairing activities there. Together the shipyards and marine services businesses form the hub of Puget Sound's boatbuilding and repair industry. The companies described below estimated a total of $150 million in revenue associated with vessels that use the locks. Dependence on the Locks Locating behind the locks offers two major advantages to these businesses: a freshwater environment that is not subject to tidal action and the efficiencies gained from access to the wide range of co-located services and expertise. Key Firms and Organizations Northlake Shipyard Northlake has two drydocks with capacity for vessels up to 220 feet in length. They have a whirley crane and a 40-ton crane and do new construction as well as repairs. They work on steel, wood, glass, and aluminum, primarily commercial fishing vessels but also tugs, barges, and some cruise vessels. Pacific Fishermen Shipyard Originally founded as a fishermen's cooperative, Pacific Fishermen Source: Alaska Bering Sea Crabbers. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 22 services tugboats, cruise vessels, charter boats, yachts and fishing vessels up to 300 feet in length at its yard in Salmon Bay. The facility includes two marine railways and a 600-ton lift dock, as well as a general ship supply store. Lake Union Dry Dock Founded in 1919, Lake Union Drydock is almost as old as the Ballard Locks. The company is a full-service yard that specializes in ship repair and conversion. It has two drydocks with capacity up to 6,000 tons. Much of their work is on military and other government vessels. Stabbert Maritime Stabbert Maritime operates a shipyard inside the locks that services all types of vessels, including tugs, passenger boats, private yachts, government vessels, science and sub-sea research vessels, and commercial fishing vessels. The yard is equipped with an 1,100-ton drydock as well as equipment for in-water repairs. The facility has 1,600 feet of pierside moorage and can accommodate vessels up to 450 feet. Vigor Marine/Vigor Industrial Vigor recently acquired Kvichak yard, located on Lake Union. The company also owns four other yards in Washington, two in Oregon, and two in Alaska. The 27-acre Kvichak yard has two drydocks and specializes in aluminum boats. It primarily does new construction but works on many kinds of fishing vessels, ferries, barges, military ships and offshore oil and gas vessels. Source: Vigor. LeClercq Marine LeClercq owns five marinas in the Ship Canal and builds boats there as well. They specialize in construction and upgrades of large yachts and also sell new and used yachts. CSR Marine The company services mainly yachts, typically from 50 to 80 feet long, at their Ballard shipyard. They also service smaller commercial vessels and manufacture fiberglass and other boat components. The company has a second yard located in Des Moines, WA. Covich Williams Covich Williams is a commercial fuel dock that has been in operation behind the locks for 50 years. They sell fuel, lube, and filters primarily to the commercial fishing fleet. They estimate they have 3,000 customers located within the Ballard Locks. Foss Washington Shipyard In addition to Foss' tug and other operations, the company owns and operates a shipyard inside the locks that provides a range of repair, maintenance and new construction services in addition to maintaining company vessels. Foss has a second shipyard in Rainier, Oregon. Canal Boatyard The boatyard has a 55-ton Travelift and provides mainly haul-out services to yachts and smaller commercial vessels. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 23 Public Safety and Science Overview and Economic Significance Four public safety organizations and three research entities use the locks on a regular basis. The Seattle Fire Department depends on the locks to move vessels and equipment rapidly to the site of a fire or other emergency. The Seattle Harbor Patrol uses the locks any time it must respond to an emergency in saltwater. King County Sheriff and the U.S. Coast Guard both moor their boats in saltwater, but use the locks for maintenance and patrols. They are somewhat less dependent on them for emergencies. The University of Washington operates two research vessels that transit the locks for virtually all their work, as does the private research vessel Kittiwake. The Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife has a large fleet of boats and vessels that are divided between fresh and salt water. Roughly ten use the locks annually for maintenance. Finally, the Ballard Locks are the only point of access and egress Source: University of Washington. available to salmon migrating in and out of the Lake Washington, Cedar, Sammamish watershed (known as "WRIA 8"). All salmon in the watershed must travel through the locks twice in their lives, as juveniles on their way to the ocean and again as adults returning to spawn. The locks, therefore, are key to the outcome of more than $125 million in federal, state, local and matching or leveraged funding for habitat protection and restoration projects undertaken since 1998 in the WRIA 8 watershed. This study did not attempt to estimate economic values for the safety and science functions related to the locks. Dependence on the Locks An important public safety role for the locks is to allow agencies to move equipment and personnel quickly to where they are needed. To maintain the same level of service without the locks would require duplicate assets stationed in fresh and saltwater. Both public safety and science vessels use the locks to access the marine services available inside, and all the vessels moored behind the locks save money because of the freshwater environment. Migrating salmon depend on both the fish ladder and several major locks components to ensure their safe passage into and out of the Lake Washington Ship Canal. The locks also help protect water quality by preventing the mixing of seawater with fresh water from the lakes. Related to the need for upgrades to the Locks, the Stoney Gate valves that fill and empty the locks were originally designed to open and close slowly to avoid causing violent water movements fatal to small fish. This incremental control of the valves is not possible in their current condition, however. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 24 Key Organizations Seattle Fire Department The locks are critical for marine firefighting and emergency response. Fire Department vessels transit the locks for training and for drills or if the vessel they keep moored in Lake Union is out of service. They occasionally transit the locks under non-emergency conditions for planned events. Currently, the department's freshwater unit operates from an unstaffed, temporary station. The locks allow the fire department to move equipment as needed to emergencies on both sides. In addition to firefighting, the department helps with spill mitigation and water rescues, all of which are time sensitive. King County Sheriff King County Sheriff is responsible for a wide jurisdiction that includes rivers, lakes, Puget Sound and other large bodies of water, and encompasses the City of Seattle. They moor one vessel in Des Moines to respond to calls in saltwater. They have three vessels on Lake Washington that respond to calls and conduct patrols in lake Washington. King County Sheriff uses the locks intermittently to move vessels back and forth for repairs, maintenance, and Source: Port of Seattle. special events (like Seafair) or security measures that require multiple vessels. Incorporated cities along lake Washington that do not have police can contract with King County Sherriff for marine safety patrols. Seattle Harbor Patrol Because of budget cuts over the years, there is no longer a harbor patrol station on the saltwater side of the locks, so responding to saltwater emergencies requires transiting the locks. Transits are made for emergency calls, routine patrols, and training dives. United States Coast Guard USCG vessels are moored outside the locks in salt water, but use the locks to respond to incidents, conduct safety patrols, and access repair services. They are responsible for the region's maritime transportation security and provide water-side support for a variety of emergencies. University of Washington Research Vessels Two research vessels homeport at the University of Washington docks, located within the locks. The Thomas G. Thompson, a 274-foot research vessel, is used primarily for deep ocean research around the world. It requires the large lock. The Clifford A. Barnes, a 55-foot vessel research vessel, is used less because at 51 years old the vessel is nearing the end of its useful life. It primarily does research in Puget Sound in both fresh water and salt water. It uses the small lock. Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife The department does a variety of management and conservation activities in Puget Sound including fish surveys, water monitoring, sampling the fish ladder at the Ballard Locks, test fishing for crab, salmon, hydroacoustics, creel surveys of anglers, and Dungeness crab assessment. They have about 200 vessels of all sizes, and approximately 10 of them pass through the locks annually for services. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 25 Bio-Marine Enterprises This private company operates the Kittiwake, a research vessel owned by Charles Eaton since 1981. The Kittiwake operates exclusively in Puget Sound, and 98 percent of its work is in saltwater. The vessel transits the locks an average of four times a month to do pollution and water quality sampling. Yacht Moorage and Sales Overview and Economic Significance MOORAGE There are at least 42 commercial or publicly owned marinas located behind the Ballard Locks that serve primarily recreational vessels. Those 42 marinas provide approximately 5,000 long-term slips. Occupancy rates typically exceed 80 percent, and marinas in desirable locations, especially close to saltwater, often have waiting lists. Of the 5,000 slips, an estimated 4,000 are suitable for vessels 35 feet or longer that could be used in saltwater. This figure does not include saltwater yachts moored at private docks, which could number an Source: Port of Seattle. additional several hundred. Though not every saltwater-capable vessel uses the locks, most are purchased and maintained at least partly because they can be used for cruising, racing, and other activities outside the locks, according to local yacht brokers. These saltwatercapable vessels accounted for the bulk of the 33,000 lock transits by recreational craft in 2016. A detailed accounting of total fees for long-term and transient moorage by yachts and other recreational craft that use the locks to access saltwater cruising and other activities is outside the scope of this analysis. Estimates of total ownership and operating expenditures are provided below. Finally, an unknown number of recreational vessels with long-term moorage outside the locks, for example at Shilshole Bay Marina, or that visit Seattle from other cities or states, transit the locks for haulouts and other services or tie up at transient moorage during visits to Seattle. An estimated $150 million in sales of new and used recreational vessels in 2016 was made possible by the Ballard Locks. University of Washington Sea Grant statistics for 2016 identify 7,625 boats sold in King County, worth $235.7 million.9 Based on an average of estimates by five industry experts, approximately 70 percent of 9 https://wsg.washington.edu/community-outreach/outreach-detail-pages/boat-sales/ Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 26 King County boat sales, measured in dollars, occur on the freshwater side of the Ballard Locks and at least 90 percent of those sales involve vessels primarily intended for saltwater use. OWNERSHIP AND OPERATING SPENDING A study in 2011 estimated the average value of Washington-based recreational yachts between 35 and 50 feet in length at $143,000 (2016 dollars) and the average value of yachts 50 or more feet in length at $715,000 (2016 dollars).10 The study also estimated that annual ownership and operating expenditures for yachts between 50 and 85 feet are approximately 10 percent of vessel value, or about $70,000 per year on average. If we apply the 10 percent figure to the smaller yachts as well, we get average annual ownership and operating expenditures of approximately $14,000 per year for Table 4. Yacht Moorage and Sales Indicators, 2016 Washington yachts from 35 to 50 feet long. Indicator Number of marinas located inside There are 3,200 recreational vessels between 35 ~42 the Locks and 50 feet in length, and 845 recreational vessels Number of long-term slips ~5,000 over 50 feet in length owned by residents of King Recreational vessel sales made ~$150 million possible by Ballard Locks County, Washington.11 If we assume that three- Average yacht value 35'-50' $143,000 quarters are moored inside the locks and apply Average yacht value 50'+ $715,000 the spending estimates above, then roughly $80 Estimated annual spending on million in annual ownership and operating ownership and operations for $80 million locks-dependent vessels spending is associated with yachts that depend Source: McDowell Group estimates. on the locks. These calculations do not include so-called "super yachts," which are defined as professionally crewed yachts with a waterline length of at least 24 meters (79 feet). When super yachts visit Seattle, they may moor in Elliott Bay, but several access moorage in the Ship Canal and Lake Union through the locks each year. Their spending is much greater than that of typical private yachts, and several businesses in the Lake Union area cater to them. A super-yacht visit may result in half a million dollars in local spending.12 Dependence on the Locks The locks benefits most important to recreational vessels are again access to marine services and freshwater moorage. Without the locks, most of the saltwater-capable recreational craft currently moored within the locks would either move to a distant location or would be sold. Moving would be difficult, since there are waiting lists at all the available moorages on the saltwater side of the Seattle waterfront, according to yacht brokers. The area behind the locks is a key location for boat sales. It is home to the on-water portion of the Seattle Boat Show, many other water-based boating events, and the largest concentration of yacht brokers in the state. For cruising yachts, transient moorage in Lake Union or the Ship Canal provides a very desirable location from which to visit Seattle. 10 Washington Boats: Economic Impact Research, Hebert Research, 2011 11 Yacht registration database for King County, BoatinfoWorld, 2/9/17 12 http://www.bizjournals.com/seattle/blog/2016/06/look-what-slipped-into-seattle-under-cover-of.html Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 27 Key Firms and Organizations Below are the major marinas and yacht brokerages located inside the Ballard Locks. The Northwest Yachtbrokers' Association is the principal representative of local yacht-sales businesses. Larger commercial or municipal marinas located in Lake Washington: Bellevue Marina Carillon Point Harbor Village Marina Kenmore Marina Kirkland Homeport Marina Kirkland Yacht Club Lakewood Moorage Leschi Marina Leschi Sailboat Moorage Marina Park Newport Yacht Basin Parkshore Marina Spinnaker Bay Marina Yarrow Bay Marina Larger commercial or municipal marinas located in Lake Union, the Lake Washington Ship Canal or Portage Bay: Affinity Marina Ballard Mill Marina Boatworld Marina Commercial Marine Fairiew Marinas Gasworks Park Lake Union Yacht Harbor Nickerson Marina Ocean Alexander Marina Salmon Bay Marina Tillicum Marina AGC Marina Boat Street Marina Canal Marina Ewing Street Marina Freemont Boat Company Harbormaster Marina Marina Mart Northlake Marina Sagstad Marina Thunderbird Marina Westlake Landing Businesses specializing in mega-yacht moorage and services: La Casse Maritime Nautical Landings Marina Salmon Bay Marine Center Yacht Brokerages located in Lake Union, the Lake Washington Ship Canal or Lake Washington: Crows Nest Yachts Emerald Pacific Yachts Hebert Yachts Irwin Yacht Sales Lake Union Sea Ray Lake Union Yacht Sales Northwest Yacht Sales Premier Yachts Salmon Bay Marine Center Seattle Yacht Sales Signature Yachts Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 28 Passenger Carriers Overview and Economic Significance Two companies, Anchor Bay Charters and Argosy Cruises, sell tours of the locks and the Ship Canal to approximately 150,000 people per year. The other two passenger services moor vessels inside and must transit the locks to conduct their cruises and charters. Dependence on the Locks The ability to moor in freshwater is especially important to passenger operators with steel vessels because Coast Guard regulations are less restrictive than for saltwater moorage. One passenger carrier said the freshwater environment inside the locks reduces the number of required haulouts over a five-year period from three to just one. Key Firms and Organizations Source: UnCruise Adventures. Anchor Bay Charters The company has one vessel and provides commercial passenger charters. Argosy Cruises Argosy Cruises operates ten vessels and sells passenger charters and scheduled cruises. UnCruise Adventures UnCruise operates eight vessels that provide cruises to Washington, Alaska, and Canada. Spirit of 76 The Spirit of 76 is a charter vessel used for private cruises and marine education. Construction and Manufacturing Overview and Economic Significance The principal firms engaged in construction and manufacturing in the area of the Ballard Locks are marine related. Two firms produce building materials from sand and gravel shipped through the locks and distribute them primarily to construction sites inside the locks. Manufacturing firms produce various types of marine machinery. In addition to facilitating day-to-day sand and gravel shipments, the locks allow movement of large construction components such as the pontoons used to renew the Route 520 Bridge across Lake Washington. Beginning in 2018, the locks will be used five-to-six days a week to barge waste material from construction of a 3-mile-long, 14-to-18-foot diameter tunnel between Ballard and the Wallingford waste transfer facility. The tunnel will Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 29 control what is currently 60 million gallons a year of untreated sewage that flows into the Lake Washington Ship Canal.13 Dependence on the Locks Much of the tonnage that passes through the Ballard Locks consists of sand, gravel or other aggregates that are shipped from Dupont in south Puget Sound and processed at facilities either in Salmon Bay or Kenmore, at the north end of Lake Washington. The locks make that commerce possible, as there is no other cost-effective way to move those materials, according to interviews for this study. If the locks were to fail during construction of the tunnel described above, it would require round-the-clock trucking of waste material through residential and commercial areas to make up for the lost barge capacity. Manufacturing firms operating in the area near the locks typically make marine-related products. They benefit from being near their customer base, but are not heavily dependent on the locks, themselves. Key Firms and Organizations CONSTRUCTION PRODUCTS Lakeside Industries The company manufactures asphalt using gravel shipped from Dupont in south Puget Sound through the locks. Salmon Bay Sand and Gravel The company provides concrete and other building products using sand and gravel shipped from Dupont in south Puget Sound through the locks. Source: Salmon Bay Sand and Gravel. MANUFACTURING Markey Machinery Markey makes deck machinery such as winches that are marketed nationwide. MER Equipment MER manufactures commercial generators for maritime industry. Hatton Marine Hatton Marine is a marine engine distributor and service provider for pleasure crafts, commercial fishing vessels, tugboats. 13Seattle Public Utilities, http://www.seattle.gov/util/EnvironmentConservation/Projects/ShipCanalWaterQuality/index.htm. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 30 Local Transport Overview and Economic Significance Two types of local tug and barge activity commonly involve the locks. One consists of companies that move sand, gravel and other aggregates through the locks for concrete and asphalt production at the constructionproducts firms described above. The aggregates come mainly from Dupont, at the southern end of Puget Sound. Some are used immediately inside the locks at facilities in Salmon Bay. Some aggregate ships through the locks to processing facilities in Kenmore, at the north end of Lake Washington. The sand, gravel, and aggregate cargo is tracked by USACE and amounts to roughly 800,000 tons per year. Tugs are also used to move bring vessels through the locks for repairs or maintenance at one of the shipyards, and then to assist it back to saltwater when the work is done. These are mainly fishing vessels, and they have no cargo aboard other than nets and other fishing equipment, which is not counted by USACE in its annual tallies. Dependence on the Locks Although the amount of construction materials that move through the locks is not large compared to most inland waterways, the shipments are important because trucking those materials through Seattle's urban neighborhoods would be an expensive alternative with undesirable noise, congestion, and other environmental impacts. The local towing of vessels through the locks is a necessary component of the marine services hub that exists in the Ship Canal and Lake Union. Key Firms and Organizations Fremont Tugboat The company has 11 tugboats stationed at Lake Union. They operate in Lake Union, Puget Sound, and Lake Washington. They also operate a 125-slip marina at the north end of Lake Union. The tugboats taking fishing vessels through the locks in both directions average ten transits a month. Many of the boats that moor in their marina, which range from 15 to 75 feet long, use the locks to sail, cruise and sightsee. The company estimates that, on average, 15-20 of the boats in their marina transit the locks several times each month. Island Tug Island Tug transports gravel for concrete production. They make frequent trips through the locks with loaded and unloaded barges. Source: Fremont Tugboat. Westar Marine Westar Marine is a tug, barge, and water taxi company that does primarily construction support. They moor vessels at North Lake Shipyard and use them to move materials, equipment and personnel. The Route 520 bridge project is an example of the kind of project they service. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 31 Visitor Industry Overview and Economic Significance Approximately 1.25 million people visit the Ballard Locks every year to see the fish ladder, tour the gardens and the facility, and visit the gift shop. Visitors to the Locks arrive in three ways. Residents of nearby neighborhoods can access the locks by footpaths from either side of the Ship Canal. They use the gardens and walkways for strolling, jogging, bicycling, and picnicking. Approximately 150,000 visitors arrive on local sightseeing cruises as described under "Passenger Carriers," above. Other visitors arrive by car or bus. The USACE methodology for estimating Value to the Nation includes a component that measures the economic impacts of visitation. A 2013 analysis by Source: USACE. USACE estimated locks-related visitor spending at $38.2 million. (See Economic Impacts chapter for additional detail.) Dependence on the Locks In the absence of statistical visitor research, it is difficult to estimate the precise role the locks play in visitor itineraries and spending throughout the Seattle area. However, the popularity of the locks as an attraction suggests they may influence visitors to remain in the area longer than they otherwise would, thereby increasing the value of the visitor experience and the amount of visitor spending. All of the revenue, employment and taxes created by local water and ground tour businesses that take visitors to or through the locks depends entirely on the locks operations. Those companies are described under "Passenger Carriers," above. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 32 Tribal Access Three species of salmon migrate past the Ballard Locks by means of its fish ladder. Fish are counted each year under a co-management arrangement between the Department of Fish and Wildlife and the Muckleshoot Tribe. Average run sizes for the past several years, based on counts taken at the locks, have been as follows: Coho salmon = 21,134 (average for years 2004-20014) Sockeye salmon = 115,175 (average for years 2006-2016) Chinook salmon =11,442 (average for years 2006-2016) In past years as many as 80 Muckleshoot tribal fishing boats have used the locks. More recently, due to weaker runs and lower fish prices, the number has been closer to 20. The tribe also uses the locks and fish ladder to tag and collect fish for various research purposes. Upgrading the locks would benefit tribal fisheries in several ways (see also "Public Safety and Science," above): Improving fish passage facilities and equipment to moderate temperature/dissolved oxygen in the Ship Canal to help ensure the future of salmon in the lake basin. This is a tribal priority. Replacement of the Stoney Gate valve machinery would facilitate slower lockages to protect salmon smolts that migrate to saltwater from the locks from mid- April through late June or early July. Other Locks-Related Businesses Many other businesses in the vicinity of the Ballard Locks do not rely specifically on vessels that transit the locks, but are part of the "one-stop-shop" of marine services that contribute to the convenience and cost-savings of locks users. These businesses include professional firms that specialize in areas such as marine insurance, maritime law, maritime publications, naval architecture, and other services, including property management. Some are represented by the two main trade associations in the area: North Seattle Industrial Association NSIA represents 44 member entities, mainly maritime, manufacturing and industrial support businesses and property owners in the area around the locks (Lake Union, Fremont, Ballard and Interbay). NSIA is active mainly in policy, regulatory and community planning issues relevant to its members. Northwest Marine Trade Association NMTA represents 700 members, mostly support-services businesses, and is the largest marine trade association in the U.S. Member businesses service everything from paddleboards to yachts. In addition to working on policy and regulatory issues, NMTA coordinates the Seattle Boat Show. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 33 Economic Impact Analysis USACE periodically measures and reports what it terms the "Value to the Nation" (VTN) of the program as a whole and each of its component sites. The purpose of the VTN reports is to summarize the economic contribution of the overall Civil Works Program and to help guide budget allocations among the various locks, dams and other facilities, Measurements are made in terms of National Economic Development (NED) benefits and revenues to the U.S. Treasury.14 NED Benefits measured by USACE typically Source: Port of Seattle. include flood and environmental damage-prevention, transportation costs savings, and recreation values. These valuations are all legitimate, but they do not account for the full economic contribution of a unique asset like the Ballard Locks. This report examines economic impacts of the Ballard Locks at several levels that are not addressed in the federal methodology. Some of those levels are quantifiable with The locks are our business. We built our existing data, for example vessel traffic, shipping tonnage, and office building and marina upon the commercial fishing earnings. Some are identifiable but require existence of the locks. Our property new data to quantify, for example business efficiencies and would be worth a lot less if the locks did associated profits and taxes made possible by the locks. Finally, not exist. some impacts, including the value of traditional and customary tribal activities, public safety impacts, and quality-of-life impacts, Maritime Supply Business are beyond the scope of this analysis. 14 Value to the Nation of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Civil Works Programs, Estimates of National Economic Development (NED) Benefits and Revenues to the U.S. Treasury for 2010. Institute for Water Resources, 2013-R-09, December 2013. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 34 Measuring the Value of Locks The primary purpose of virtually all other U.S. locks systems besides the Ballard Locks is to move freight long distances more efficiently than by truck or rail. For example, USACE has calculated that, on average, a gallon of fuel moves a ton of cargo 155 miles by truck, 436 miles by rail, and 576 miles by barge.15 USACE applies the fuel savings to the overall tonnage moved each year throughout the nation by barge when it computes the economic contribution of The advantages [of the locks] are huge, the overall locks system. It allocates those savings to individual mainly because all our facilities are at locks on the basis of how much tonnage passes through each Fishermen's Terminal. We would not be lock.16 here if not for the locks. Maritime Supply Business Fuel-cost savings are real, but they are far from the only economic development benefit created by the Ballard Locks. The U.S. Federal Highway Administration, to choose just one example, takes a broader view with respect to the value of highways. Its Toolbox for Regional Policy Analysis Report, 2000 notes: Economic development impacts may be measured through job creation, total or per-capita personal income, business growth and attraction, business productivity, or other means. 17 The FHA goes on to list some of the primary determinants of economic benefits. In addition to the obvious measure of expenditures on transportation, the FHA lists safety improvements and accessibility, for example the travel time needed to reach suppliers, buyers, workers, etc. 18 The value of accessibility is key to the businesses that depend on If the locks weren't available, it would the Ballard Locks, as described throughout this report, especially take 1,250 truck trips to accomplish what access to highly skilled services and a large customer base. The we can do in 10 loads with barges. other key benefit to Ballard Locks users is the cost savings Construction Supply Business associated with freshwater/tide-free moorage. While these benefits are much more challenging to measure than tonnage, they are nonetheless significant, and would likewise be threatened in the event of a locks malfunction or closure. The next section of this chapter discusses and, where data is available, estimates a range of economic impacts attributable in whole or in part to the Ballard Locks. The last section recommends an expanded VTN method more appropriate for the unique role of the Ballard Locks. 15 Inland Waterway Navigation, Value to the Nation, USACE, 2009. These figures are provided as examples. More recent estimates may be available in other USACE publications. 16 The USACE methodology includes a provision to prevent double counting the cost savings of freight that passes through more than one lock. That provision appears to under-value the Ballard Locks because none of the Ballard Locks cargo passes through any other locks. 17 https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/planning/processes/tools/toolbox/methodologies/economic_overview.cfm 18 Ibid Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 35 Ballard Locks Business Contribution Dependent Businesses Table 5. Impact of Safe, efficient, and reliable operations of the locks Locks-Dependent Businesses, 2015 directly supports a large number of businesses located Impacts along Salmon Bay, Lake Union, Lake Washington and Direct sales $615 million the waterways connecting them. Interviews with a core Indirect impacts $133 million group of 50 key businesses, coupled with other Direct payroll $120 million Direct employment 3,000 jobs research, indicates they represent approximately $615 Note: Excludes commercial fishing vessel earnings. million in business sales (exclusive of commercial Source: McDowell Group estimates. fishing vessel earnings) with some connection to the locks. This includes $482 million that is directly dependent on safe and reliable locks operations, plus $133 in other related economic impact. The study was able to identify approximately $120 million in annual payroll directly tied to the locks, with a fulltime equivalent employment impact of approximately 3,000 jobs. As profiled elsewhere in this report, key locksdependent businesses include freight and passenger transportation providers, shipyards and other vesselsupport services, and construction-related firms, along with a variety of other businesses. Not included in these figures is the approximately $545 million in commercial seafood harvests by fishermen who rely to varying degrees on the transportation infrastructure provided by the locks (addressed in more detail below). Nor does the total include spending associated with recreational boat ownership and operations, estimated at perhaps $50 million based on the assumptions discussed under "Yacht Moorage and Sales" earlier in the report. One of the main advantages is access to To some extent, that spending is captured in the revenue of the freshwater, this allows our vessels to core group of marine services businesses. Finally, the total does layup for a week and get a break from not include the value of interstate barge shipments by tugboats the saltwater. It's a maintenance that rely on the locks for moorage and services. advantage. The locks also give us access to a unique terminal; for example, we Profits and Tax Revenues have direct access to rail. As noted throughout this report, the Ballard Locks creates Seafood Company greater profits and tax revenues in part by lowering transportation costs for the more than 1 million tons of freight that move through the locks annually. A greater contribution comes, however, from two factors unique to the Ballard Locks among other locks in the nation, namely that it provides access by hundreds of commercial vessels and thousands of pleasure boats to: A full range of repair, maintenance, equipment, provisioning, and other marine products and services in a single location, and A less corrosive and tide-free freshwater environment that reduces hull and equipment maintenance and extends vessels' working lives. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 36 Measuring these two contributions is challenging Table 6. Estimated Federal Tax Revenues because of the diverse ways they support and enhance (excluding commercial fish revenues) commercial and industrial activity. One basic approach Impacts is to consider federal tax revenue generated by locks- Annual profits of locks- $48 million dependent businesses. Based on a hypothetical average dependent businesses pre-tax profit rate of 10 percent of gross revenues Average USACE tax rate 23.6 percent Federal tax revenue $11 million (across all sectors), there are $48 million in annual Note: Excludes commercial fishing vessel earnings. profits associated with the businesses that are closely Source: McDowell Group estimates. connected to the locks. Applying the average individual and business tax rate of 23.6 percent that USACE uses in its own value calculations, those profits generate $11 The locks allow us to operate a marine company. million in annual federal tax revenues.19 They are the lifeline for the company. There are not many dock spaces in Puget Sound; the locks afford us docks and maintenance that would be COMMERCIAL FISHING INDUSTRY otherwise difficult to find. The profit and federal tax estimates are distributed Seafood Company across a broad range of industry sectors, but do not include the commercial fishing industry. Numerous commercial fishing vessel owners homeport their Table 7. Estimated Federal Tax Revenues Related to Commercial Fishing vessels inside the locks, and many others use the locks Impacts because service providers based inside can offer higher Gross revenues $545 million quality or lower cost service than can service providers Pre-tax net with locks $81.8 million outside the locks. Pre-tax net without locks $65.4 million Difference $16.4 million The vessels in the commercial fishing fleet that use the Difference in federal tax $3.9 million locks generate approximately $545 million annually in revenue gross revenues. While the connections between the Source: McDowell Group estimates. locks and the financial performance of the fishing fleet are complex, it is clear from interviews and the behavior of the fleet that the concentration of services and freshwater environment result in lower costs than would otherwise be the case. In practice, some of the cost advantage may accrue as profit for the companies, while some may be distributed in the form of higher property rents or other expenses. Regardless of how the cost savings is distributed, however, the full value of the savings and associated taxes may be considered a national benefit Freshwater is great, it's better to store created by the locks. the boats on freshwater. But primarily it's the facilities available at fishermen's A broad estimate of the federal tax benefits from the locks can terminal: repair docks, storage off- be derived by assuming that within the fleet that uses the locks, season, expediting vehicles, and shops. pretax profits would be lower in the absence of access to the facilities and services made available by the locks. For example, Commercial Fishing Company 19 Federal tax rate taken from Institute for Water Resources, 2013-R-09. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 37 where pre-tax profits might be 15 percent20 of gross revenues with the efficiencies and cost savings from locks access, a 12 percent pre-tax profit rate might be expected in the absence of the locks. The federal tax revenue implication of that shift is about $4 million annually. These calculations are intended to illustrate the relationship between safe and efficient locks operations and the federal Quite frankly, if we didn't have the facility treasury. Given the complexity of the economic connections inside the locks, there are not many between the locks and the wide range of industrial activity the options to do business in the Seattle locks support, it is only possible to provide order-of-magnitude area. estimates, within the scope of this study. Nevertheless, it is Construction Company evident the locks add substantial value in terms of tax revenue, in addition to the thousands of jobs and millions of dollars in payroll that are connected with the locks, and that methods to incorporate this value into USACE's VTN calculations are warranted. 20 This higher profit rate than other sectors reflects the risk premium inherent in commercial fishing. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 38 Total Locks-Related Business Activity Total gross sales among businesses dependent on the Ballard Locks is estimated at $1.19 billion for 2015. The largest components by business type include commercial fishing at $545.0 million, shipyards/marine services at $162.9 million, yacht/boat sales at $150.0 million, and freight/shipping at $108.8 million. Revenues dependent on the existence of the locks are estimated at $482.4 million, while payroll dependent on the locks is estimated at $119.8 million. Table 8. Ballard Locks Business Impacts, 2015 (Millions$) Direct Lock- Direct Lock- Dependent Dependent Sector Gross Revenues Revenue Payroll Commercial Fishing $545.0 Shipyards/Marine Services $162.9 $114.5 $51.8 Yacht/Boat Sales $150.0 $150.0 $15.0 Freight/Shipping Services $108.8 $49.0 $10.4 Passenger Services $83.0 $62.7 $21.2 Construction $50.0 $30.2 $4.1 Marinas* $32.2 $32.2 $6.4 All Other $58.7 $43.9 $10.9 Total $1,190.5 $482.4 $119.8 Locks-Related Profit (@ 10%) $48.2 Locks-Related Federal Tax Revenue (@ 23.5%) $11.4 Source: McDowell Group estimates. * Marina revenue estimate is based on the average cost of moorage. It does not include other sources of marina revenue, such as pump-outs, electricity, and other boating services. Table 9 summarizes overall revenues, payroll, jobs and tax revenues associated with the Ballard Locks based on the information gathered for this report. Estimates for individual revenue components are based on a variety of sources and, in some cases, incomplete data, and some revenue is counted more than once. For example, revenue from commercial fishing pays for a significant portion of the revenue for shipyards and marine services. The purpose of this analysis is to demonstrate the economic importance of the locks to a broad range of industries. Table 9. Summary of Locks-Related Business Impacts Impacts Total annual gross revenues connected to the locks $1.19 billion Direct locks-dependent gross revenue $482.4 million Gross earnings of the locks-supported fishing fleet $545 million Direct locks-dependent annual payroll $119.8 million Direct locks-dependent jobs 3,000 Locks-related annual Federal tax revenues $15.2 million Source: McDowell Group estimates. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 39 Visitor Spending Impacts As noted, USACE includes in its Value to the Table 10. Visitor Industry Impacts of Ballard Locks Nation NED calculations an estimate of visitor Impacts spending associated with civil works projects. The Direct Impacts USACE method is primarily designed to address Visitor spending $38.2 million the lakes that form behind large dams, however, it Business sales $15.7 million Employment 248 jobs is reasonably applicable to the Ballard Locks. Labor income $6.1 million In 2013, USACE estimated that as a visitor Total (Direct plus Indirect) Impacts attraction with such uses as sightseeing, boating, Total sales $23.1 million fishing, etc., the Ballard Locks generated $38.2 Total employment 310 jobs Total labor income $8.3 million million in visitor spending, $15.7 million in Total value-added (wages, benefits, business sales, and 248 jobs and $6.1 million in $14.3 million profits, rents, indirect taxes) labor income. Including economic multiplier Source: USACE. effects, USACE estimated impacts including $23.1 million in total sales, 310 total jobs, $8.3 million in labor income, and $14.3 million in value added (wages and salaries, payroll benefits, profits, rents, and indirect business taxes). There likely is some overlap between these visitor impacts and other business impacts calculated for this report, above. For example, we would expect the recreation impacts to include the ticket value paid by visitors who take sightseeing cruises through the locks, which is also included in "Passenger Services" in Table 8. For the most part, however, the USACE visitor spending impacts may be considered in addition to the other impacts described here. Ballard Locks Non-Business Impacts As described above, the Ballard Locks creates important benefits that are more difficult to quantify, including contributions to traditional and customary tribal activities, public safety impacts, and quality-of-life impacts. For example, one indicator of quality of life impacts might be a The locks are critical to our research portion of the real estate value of waterfront and near-shore because they provide access to open residences on the lakes and waterways within the locks. water while providing a safe, convenient With respect to the locks' impacts on Native American tribes, the area for scientists to operate and prepare value of tribal fishing at the locks and of the locks spillway as a their research operations. salmon management tool are discussed in this report. Some have Maritime Research Operations argued that the original construction of the locks had a fundamentally negative impact on traditional tribal quality of life. Whether such an impact occurred or persists, however, is beyond the scope of this report and of most commonly used economic valuation methodologies. Finally, the impacts of the Ballard Locks on public safety and public infrastructure is discussed in the subsequent chapter addressing locks closures and failures. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 40 Washington's Maritime Industry Cluster As described throughout this report, the Ballard Locks play an integral role in the maritime economy of Puget Sound and, by extension, Washington State. The scale of this economic sector is immense: according to a 2013 report, the maritime industry in Washington State had the following impacts in 2012: $30 billion in direct, indirect, and induced revenues 148,000 workers 2,090 maritime businesses Average annual wages of $70,000 (compared with statewide median of $51,000) Direct wages of $4 billion21 The Ballard Locks are essential infrastructure supporting the national and global competitiveness of Washington's maritime services sector. Suggested Value to the Nation Method This report examines the value of the Ballard Locks from many perspectives to identify improvements to the current methodology for calculating Value to the Nation/Net Economic Development benefits. USACE's current valuation is primarily a combination of transportation cost savings and recreation values. Analysis for this report suggests the following factors should also be considered: Estimation of net economic gains created by the locks should include the cost savings for commercial and recreational vessels from access to centralized services and to freshwater moorage. Both of these gains would cease if, hypothetically, the locks did not exist. In addition, while some percentage of yacht sales and services could relocate if, again hypothetically, there were no Ballard Locks, some would be entirely lost because the unique juxtaposition of yacht buyers, convenient moorage, and access to Puget Sound would be irreplaceable. The value of that loss should also be included in estimates of net economic gains. Unfortunately, measuring these other factors would be challenging, especially on an annual basis, because of the vast number of assumptions that would need to be made about how the City of Seattle might (or might not) be different without the Ballard Locks. It is therefore useful to revisit the purpose of the VTN calculation, which, as noted above, is first to measure the overall benefit of the USACE Civil Works Program in relation to its cost, and second to rank locks in relation to one another as a guide to budget allocations among projects. The issue at hand is that the Ballard Locks have performed a number of critical functions for 100 years and will need to continue to perform them for at least another 100 years. This issue does not require rethinking the 21 Washington State Maritime Cluster Economic Impact Study, conducted by Community Attributes for Economic Development Council of Seattle and King County and the Workforce Development Council of Seattle-King County, November 2013. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 41 entire VTN methodology. It only requires the flexibility to incorporate other measures of value for this particular situation, which all agree is unique. As a proxy for more complex methods, the study team recommends using some methodology for estimating locks-related profit and locks-related taxes for businesses identified as closely dependent on continuous, reliable locks operations. The calculations above were performed under the limitations of this study. They are not precise, but offer a guide to the general magnitude of the benefits in question. If USACE were to incorporate this approach into its assessment of the Ballard Locks, further refinement of the estimates would be possible. There is one more set of benefits that is even harder to quantify, but potentially much larger than any so far considered. The study team has no recommendation for how to incorporate this last set into a specific valuation methodology. However, their implications for locks repair and upgrading should not be ignored. The last section of the report discusses some of the potential impacts of an extended closure or failure of the Ballard Locks. Here again, the economics of what is at stake are likely much greater than for many other locks systems. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 42 Potential Impacts of Locks Closures or Failures Cost of Service Disruption Because the Ballard Locks serve a variety of stakeholder groups, closures of the locks result in a range of negative impacts. The vast majority are due to unscheduled closures. Virtually all the locks users interviewed said that adjusting to brief, scheduled maintenance or repair closures was not a problem. If they were faced with an unscheduled closure of several days to a week, some businesses, for example those in construction and ship repair, might be forced to cut back operations with an associated reduction in revenue and employment hours, if a customer were If the locks were to close before the fleet unable to access their facility when expected. could leave for the season, it would cost a whole season. Some vessels wouldn't A long closure would be much more serious. When asked what be able to make payments. they would do if there was an unplanned, three-month closure Fishing Association of the locks, most local businesses said they would need to severely curtail or stop operations, and a few said they would be forced to close permanently. Implications for the fleets of commercial fishing and towing vessels would depend on the timing of the closure. Vessels prevented from returning to the Ship Canal by a closure likely could find temporary moorage and services outside the locks that would allow them to continue working. Commercial vessels trapped on the freshwater side of the locks, however, could be forced to forego critical fishing, towing, and other work opportunities. Depending on the timing and duration of a closure, losses could reach tens of millions of dollars. Probability of an Unplanned Closure The major components of the locks and spillway are approaching 100 years of age. These include key valve machinery needed to raise and lower the locks water level and the critical miter gates that keep the water contained in the locks compartments and within the lakes, themselves. For most of the past century, maintenance has been conducted according to a schedule established by the original designers. As more extensive repairs have become necessary, budget limitations have extended the time between The locks are vital to the business. For example, maintenance activities and restricted purchase and the locks have been closed since Monday for installation of new parts. Rather than following the repairs, and they normally have 2-3 jobs a day, mechanic's adage "repair before failure," the guiding but have only had one since the locks closed. principal has become "wait until it breaks," according to Business Owner individuals familiar with locks operations. It is reasonable to conclude that less maintenance increases the likelihood and potential duration of an unplanned closure, and many local businesses and organizations, including USACE, have expressed this concern. However, there is currently not enough data to calculate the mathematical probability of a locks closure from Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 43 equipment or age-related failure. Additional information may become available when the USACE risk assessment team completes its analysis of the locks in fall 2017 (see below). A long closure would absolutely affect us. We would have to lay off approximately 30 percent Repair Priorities of our employees, and it would also affect our A USACE study in 2010 identified nine high-priority areas revenue by up to 40 percent since a majority of for repair. Two years later, one of those priority our business relies upon the locks. components, the large pumps used to empty the locks for Tug and Barge Company periodic maintenance, were determined to be unsafe due to corrosion and were permanently shut down.22 The portable pumps now in use require 30 hours to empty the large lock, compared to eight hours with the original pumps. A more critical system for which renewal is underway and due to completed in 2017, contingent on funding, is the Lock Emergency Closure System, which consists of a crane and a set of steel "logs" to be used to block an uncontrolled release of water, should a major failure of the locks occur. A third high-priority repair is the diffuser well, which Honestly, we could not afford a three-month protects freshwater habitat upstream of the locks from closure. I don't think it would be viable. We are excessive saltwater intrusion, a condition highly providing a critical interstate transportation detrimental to breeding salmon, among other wildlife. A service that would no longer exist. temporary screen is in place to prevent migrating salmon Tug and Barge Company from becoming trapped in the well until more permanent repairs are performed.23 Finally, additional safety provisions could reduce the potential for accidents among the large number of visitors to the locks each year. Although railings and safety procedures have been added over the years, additional steps could be taken during a major refurbishment to ensure visitor safety. The most likely causes of an extended closure, according to USACE personnel, are the following: A vessel collision that damages or dislodges one or more of the miter gates (six gates in the large lock, four in the small lock). A mechanical failure of multiple Stoney gate valves. (There are 12 valves altogether in both locks. The large locks can function with up to four out of service, but significantly more slowly.) Closure impacts would be significant, with massive layoffs. We would be responsible with A flooding event in which rapid water drainage finding ways to get to customers' vessels. There from the lakes (due to extremely high rainfall or would not be a drydock capability. snow-melt) overpowers and damages or dislodges the miter gates. Shipyard Owner 22 Christopher Dunagan, Encyclopedia of Puget Sound, Puget Sound Institute, University of Washington, 2015. 23 Lake Washington Ship Canal Major Project Status and Fish Passage Improvement Update for WRIA8 Salmon Recovery Council Meeting, USACE, March 17, 2016. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 44 An earthquake. Earthquakes are considered the gravest threat to the integrity of the locks and spillway. This is the major focus of an analysis now underway by a USACE risk assessment team. Scheduled and Unscheduled Closures The data on locks closures over the past decade suggests that the locks are remarkably reliable for 100-yearold infrastructure, but also that unplanned closures happen at the rate of roughly 80 per year, and that extended closures due to malfunction are possible. During the ten-year period from January 1, 2007 through December 31, 2016, the locks experienced 2,600 events that interrupted operations for periods of between a few minutes and, on one occasion, 18 days. Seventy percent of the interruption events were planned maintenance or, occasionally, due to staff being occupied with other duties. The longest service interruption due to hardware or equipment malfunction was 3.4 days. A three-month closure would mean laying off Service was also interrupted as a result of 11 accidents half of our workforce. Any longer, we would go or collisions within the locks, with a maximum resulting out of business. closure of three days. All told, the total time for Shipyard Owner unplanned closures averaged 7.6 days per year. (See Appendix 2.) Deferred Maintenance and the Cost of an Error Regardless of how well designed and constructed the Ballard Locks may be, it is almost certainly less expensive to fix them before they fail than to wait until afterward because of the potential for additional damage during an unplanned or uncontrolled incident. According to USACE personnel, the reason the locks function as well as they do is that the principle of "fix before failure" has been followed until recent years. Budget cuts have restricted the amount and types of preventive maintenance performed at the locks, however. Deferred maintenance is particularly risky when, as with the Ballard Locks, the cost of an error is high. Interviews indicate that short, controlled closures of the Ballard Locks are not a significant problem. A long, unplanned closure would be extremely damaging to the range of businesses and organizations that depend on the locks. A major failure of the locks or spillway could be a public disaster. Potential Economic Losses from Closure One of the clearest examples of the economic losses that could result from an extended, unplanned locks closure is the fishing fleets. The timing of fishing activities is critical and follows year-round cycles determined by fish movements, spawning habits, weather, and a host If the locks were closed, it would significantly of regulatory requirements. If a locks closure prevents a impact our budget. There would be an initial fleet from being properly maintained and outfitted, increase of millions to build a facility on the fishing time potentially worth millions of dollars could be saltwater side, as well as an additional $250,000 lost. If fishing vessels are trapped inside the locks and per year for staffing to run the facility in addition prevented from fishing at all, losses could be in the tens to our lake-side facility. of millions of dollars or more. As noted earlier, fishing Business Owner Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 45 vessels that use the locks earned in excess of $500 million in 2015. The ocean transport companies typically have vessels in multiple locations and therefore have some flexibility to interchange them in the event of an extended closure. However, they would also face large losses if vessels became trapped to the extent delivery contracts could not be fulfilled, as would cruise companies forced to cancel scheduled cruises. Among local businesses, any long closure of the locks A long-term closure would be astronomical for would force construction/building materials firms to us. A lot of the work we do needs to happen in close, at least temporarily. Shipyards, yacht sales, marine our yard, and we would have to go to an outside services, and local transport companies would yard that would cost money that wasn't planned. experience varying impacts. There would be little effect Contracts would be lost. All of the shipyards on shipbuilding and repair projects already underway, would shut down. We would have to lay off but work for vessels not already inside the locks would workers. be postponed. Yacht sales would likely decline, and local Tug and Barge Company transport through the locks would, of course, halt.24 Public Safety and Potential Loss of Life The locks are a key component of public safety response for several local agencies, as described earlier in the report. Further, the fact that the locks regulate water levels in Lake Union and Lake Washington means a reduction in flood risk and potentially lower insurance costs for shoreline property. Assessment of the potential for loss of life from a failure of the locks itself is beyond the scope of this study. The possibility is real, however, and is currently being analyzed by a USACE team that specializes in such risk assessments. The USACE team is examining the potential impacts of The locks are critical for marine firefighting and seismic, mechanical, and other possible failures of the emergency response. We transit the locks for Ballard Locks and its spillway. The analysis will focus training and for drills, or if the Lake Union boat is primarily on the potential for loss of life and will examine out of service. We also may transit the locks to a more limited extent potential economic impacts. At under non-emergency conditions for planned the time of this study, the dam assessment team had events. Without the locks, it would significantly reached no conclusions about either the probability or impact marine operations for firefighting. likely impacts of a major locks failure. The team's report Seattle Fire Department is expected in fall of 2017.25 24 This information was collected in individual interviews with more than 50 business representatives. 25 Meeting with the assessment team, January 24, 2017. Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 46 Appendix 1 Interviews The study team conducted telephone interviews with representatives of the companies and organizations below. Multiple interviews were conducted with USACE personnel. Alaska Bering Sea Crabbers Aleutian Spray Fisheries Anchor Bay Charters Argosy Cruises Bio-Marine Enterprises CalPortland Coastal Transportation Coastal Alaska Premier Seafoods Crow's Nest Yachts Covich-Williams Ferguson Terminal CSR Marine Freezer Longline Coalition Foss Maritime Company (Shipyard Operations) Groundfish Forum Fremont Tugboat Company Icicle Seafoods Hatton Marine Island Tug and Barge Irwin Yacht Sales Kirby Corporation King County Police Lake Washington/Cedar/Sammamish Steering Lake Union Drydock Committee (WRIA 8) LeClercq Marine Construction Lakeside Industries Markey Machinery Manson Construction Muckleshoot Tribe MER Equipment North Seattle Industrial Association Nautical Landing Marina Northwest Marine Trade Association Northlake Shipyard, Inc. Port of Seattle Fishermen's Terminal Ocean Peace, Inc. Purse Seine Vessel Owners' Association Premier Yachts Salmon Bay Yacht Sales Salmon Bay Sand and Gravel Seattle Police Department (Harbor Patrol) Seattle Fire Department Seattle Public Utilities Signature Yacht Sales Spirit of 76 Stabbert Maritime Un-Cruise Adventures U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (Seattle District) United States Coast Guard (Puget Sound Sector) University of Washington Marine Operations Vigor Industrial (Kvichak Shipyard) Washington Department of Fish & Wildlife Washington State Department of Transportation Washington Trollers Association Westar Marine Services Western Towboat Company Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 47 Appendix 2 Locks Closure Data G3 STALL ANALYSIS REPORT LPMS: 4 Lock Code 01 LAKE WASHINGTON SHIP CANAL Run Date: 01/19/2017 15:20 HIRAM M CHITTENDEN LOCKS 01/01/2007 thru 01/01/2017 STOPPAGE EVENTS STALL EVENTS Reason Code Number Percent Number Total Percent of Average Time Minimum Time Maximum Time Number Percent of Code Description of of Scheduled Time Total Stopped Stopped Stopped of Total Events Events (Min) Time (Min) (Min) (Min) Events Stall/Stoppages A Fog 4 0.20% 3 1,376.00 0.20% 344 30 1,181.00 0 0.00% AA Accident or collision in lock 11 0.40% 1 12,586.00 2.30% 1,144.20 135 4,355.00 0 0.00% B Rain 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% BB Closed ( unmanned shift) 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% C Sleet or Hail 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% CC Grounding 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% D Snow 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% Environmental (i.e. fish, animals, oil spills, DD hydrilla) 17 0.70% 14 4,009.00 0.70% 235.8 24 360 0 0.00% E Wind 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% EE Repairing lock or lock hardware 50 1.90% 30 9,242.00 1.70% 184.8 15 1,195.00 0 0.00% F Lightning 10 0.40% 4 629 0.10% 62.9 15 150 0 0.00% Lock Ok; unused for other reason (i.e. CG river FF closing etc) 1 0.00% 1 59 0.00% 59 59 59 0 0.00% G Low Water 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% GG Bye Time 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% H on or around towIce 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% I River current or Outdraft condition 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% J Flood 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% K Interference by other vessel(s) 3 0.10% 0 74 0.00% 24.7 14 37 0 0.00% L Tow malfunction or breakdown 3 0.10% 0 81 0.00% 27 18 38 1 0.00% M Tow staff occupied with other duties 3 0.10% 0 94 0.00% 31.3 24 46 0 0.00% Operations (runspilldivert water, flush seals N reserve etc) 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% O Debris 1 0.00% 0 50 0.00% 50 50 50 0 0.00% P Tow accident or collision 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% Q Debris in lock recess or lock chamber 6 0.20% 4 1,552.00 0.30% 258.7 19 500 0 0.00% R Lock hardware or equipment malfunction 77 3.00% 5 44,923.00 8.10% 583.4 10 4,929.00 0 0.00% S Lock staff occupied with other duties 246 9.40% 4 12,223.00 2.20% 49.7 1 285 0 0.00% T Maintaining lock or lock equipment 1945 74.70% 1719 450,472.00 81.50% 231.6 0 26,055.00 1 0.00% U on lock or lock equipmentIce 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% V Tow detained by Coast Guard or Corps 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% Collision or Accident (not tow or not in lock; W see P, AA) 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% Bridge or other structure (i.e railway, pontoon, X swing etc.) 167 6.40% 8 3,640.00 0.70% 21.8 3 160 1 0.00% Y Inspection or testing lock 41 1.60% 35 9,109.00 1.60% 222.2 15 2,723.00 0 0.00% Z Other 19 0.70% 7 2,854.00 0.50% 150.2 21 500 0 0.00% T O T A L S 2604 100.00% 1835 552,973.00 100.00% 3 0.10% Economic Impacts of the Hiram M. Chittenden Locks McDowell Group, Inc. Page 48
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