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Item No. 7B Meeting Date January 27, 2015 SUSTAINABLE AIRPORT MASTER PLAN (SAMP) Update: January 27, 2015 Briefing Outline Overview Airport Economic Engine SEA Activity Forecast Forecast Implications/Challenges Development Constraints 2034 Planning Goals & Facility Requirements Challenges, Options, & Next Steps Airfield Terminal Landside Planning Schedule Challenges/Anticipated Actions (Near-Term) Sustainability Public Outreach Plan 2 Overview Rapid growth and a constrained operational footprint requires strategic land use planning and future Commission policy decisions to provide needed capacity Gaining clarity regarding implications of projected growth in passengers and operations and the necessary facility changes Developing and evaluating options to meet facility requirements Will need to utilize properties beyond those now a part of the airfield and terminal complex. The optimal airport layout maintaining airfield capacity and adding terminal capacity will require relocation of existing facilities Understanding these tradeoffs and the repercussions of balancing needs will be a next step 3 Airport Economic Engine Sea-Tac serves as critical regional and national asset More than 170,000 jobs attributable to airport activity $6.1 billion in total personal income $16.3 billion in business revenue Growth in air service supports regional economic activity Each new international flight generates an estimated $75 million annually in direct and indirect economic impact to the region Keeping freight moving supports local and regional businesses Connects region to the global economy Creates new jobs in local communities Aeronautical jobs airlines, airline contractors, flight kitchens, aircraft maintenance Airport and visitor jobs dining/retail, hotels, parking Construction jobs 4 SEA Activity Forecast Drivers of domestic and international passenger activity Domestic originating passenger demand has strong historic correlation with key economic indicators Inflation-adjusted airfares projected to decline long-term PSRC forecast:per capita income growth in Puget Sound region higher than national average Domestic connecting passenger growth tied to airport's ongoing role as hub for Alaska Airlines, and development of Seattle as a Delta Air Lines domestic connecting hub and international gateway International originating passenger demand supported by Seattle economic profile and airline business plans Location of global business communities Proximity to Asia International connecting passenger activity driven by continued development of Airport as gateway for Delta and foreign-flag airlines. 5 SEA Activity Forecast Passengers and operations Rapid growth in recent years Passengers: up 4.7% in 2013 & 7.5% in 2014 Aircraft operations:up 2.5% in 2013 & 6.9% in 2014 Airport traffic will grow by 28.5 million annual passengers (MAP) and 190,000 aircraft operations in next 20 years 66 million annual passengers (up from 37.5 million in 2014) 540,000 annual operations (up from 350,000 in 2014) 6 Forecast Implications/Challenges Airfield 36% more aircraft on the airfield during peak hours 2014 peak hour:88 operations 2034 peak hour:120 operations Operational delays begin at 90 operations per hour today Airfield impact Efficiency exponentially decreases as the airfield reaches and exceeds capacity Severe congestion along taxiway in front of terminal caused by departures queue and push back from gates Departing aircraft significantly delayed due to runway crossings by arriving aircraft Departures delays compounded by shift to larger aircraft 7 Forecast Implications/Challenges Terminal 58% more departing passengers in the terminal during peak hours 2014 peak hour:5,180 passengers 2034 peak hour:8,170 passengers 70% more arriving passengers in the terminal during peak hours 2014 peak hour:5,040 passengers 2034 peak hour:8,550 passengers Terminal impact Check-in:processing has become increasingly efficient, but significant expansion of bag drop positions will be required Security screening:current configuration of checkpoints is inefficient and future passenger loads will likely exceed capacity Baggage claim:at or near capacity today increased loads will cause congestion at claim devices and a low level of customer service 8 Forecast Implications/Challenges Landside 42% more vehicles on Upper Drive during morning peak 2014 peak hour:1,240 vehicles 2034 peak hour:1,760 vehicles 61% more vehicles on Lower Drive during evening peak 2014 peak hour:1,170 vehicles 2034 peak hour:1,880 vehicles Landside impact Upper drive sidewalk congestion creates a low level of service today passenger safety and access to the terminal will be severely compromised in 2034 without improvements Traffic accessing terminal drives backs-up to control tower and occasionally onto SR 518 today roadways will gridlock by 2034 without significant capital improvements 9 Development Constraints Environmental, airspace, and land use constraints severely limit expansion options 10 Development Constraints Airport Comparison No US airport handles comparable passenger volumes with as small an operational footprint as SEA 11 Development Constraints Land Allocation Western operational boundary of airfield is 16R-34L (no 4th runway) Three runways are needed in 2034 (cannot push terminal edge west) No terminal facilities west of 16R/34L (topography, wetlands) Limited footprint requires prioritization of land uses and complex phasing plan. Functional priorities for property allocation: Passenger terminal Airfield Landside Cargo Airline support Airport support General aviation 12 2034 Planning Goals Gates Accommodate all planned, peak hour activity at aircraft parking positions with direct terminal access (no remote busing operations) Minimum Connect Time (MCT) (people & baggage) 60 minute MCT with 20-year SAMP improvements Dining and Retail Adequate concessions and amenities space to optimize revenue and meet customer expectations Cargo Sufficient warehouse and hardstand facilities to meet demand Roadways Reliable terminal access with minimal delay Parking -- TBD 13 2034 Facility Requirements What We Know Now 35 additional aircraft parking positions with direct terminal access ("gates") after eight new gates at NSAT Providing gates will drive overall airport plan, toppling dominoes airport wide International Arrival Facility (IAF) 27 international widebody gates (vs 11 in 2014& 18 in 2019) 2,200 passengers per hour processing capacity 400,000-500,000 total square feet of cargo warehouse (based on SAMP forecasted growth) Warehouse space will need to be consolidated and potentially mechanized to accommodate projected growth Currently assessing ramp space requirements Analyzing potential to accommodate Century Agenda growth 14 2034 Facility Requirements Still Evaluating Airport access roadways, terminal drives and parking Terminal Check-in Expanded current terminal or additional terminal? Security screening Holdrooms Dining & retail Baggage systems Campus-wide "Automated People Mover" (APM) (RCF to terminal; between terminals; terminal(s) to remote concourses) Airline support Aircraft maintenance & Ground Run-up Enclosure (GRE) Airport support Airport Rescue and Firefighting station (ARFF) Ground Service Equipment (GSE) maintenance 15 Airfield Challenges Additional airfield connected land required to meet demand Aircraft bridge over creek and potential South Access roadway corridor 16 Airfield Challenges Accommodate 120 peak hour operations (up from 88 - with no airfield expansion) Increase airfield efficiency to make full use of three runway system Minimize runway crossings Reduce congestion on Taxiway B and improve access to/from south end gates in north flow Other factors that impact airfield capacity Closely spaced runways require staggered arrivals Interactions with Boeing Field create departure and arrival delays 17 Airfield Options End-around taxiways 70% of operations (all Group III) could avoid crossing departures runways Minor reduction in take-off weight for large, long-haul international flights Center runway could become primary departure runway significant increase in efficiency/capacity Existing Conditions Taxiway A extension Doubles queuing capacity Provides a bypass on south end taxiway system Improves access to/from south end gates & SASA Future Conditions 18 Airfield Next Steps Alternatives analysis (detailed modeling will determine efficiency benefits of airfield improvements) Further develop potential capital and operational fixes Airfield and terminal ramp modeling Feasibility and cost/benefit Coordination with FAA 19 Terminal: Gates & Check-in Challenges Aircraft parking positions with direct terminal access ("gates") Provide 35 additional gates Expand terminal in manner that: Will be operationally efficient Will connect widebody gates to IAF with good customer service Can be phased with least disruption to existing facilities Remain Over Night (RON) aircraft parking positions Locate required RON north and south of the expanded terminal to minimize operational impacts of towing Passenger processing capacity Can we support 35 additional gates with a single, expanded terminal? Or is a second terminal needed to supporting new gates to north? How do we connect passengers between new concourses and terminal(s)? 20 Terminal: Gates & Check-in Options Expansion is needed north and south to provide additional gates Early decisions: Concourse A extensionor additional south satellite, and Piers north of existing terminal or North Satellite extension Based on decision above, then decide: Expand current terminal and/or build additional terminal to the north 21 Terminal: Gates -- South Concourse A Extension Additional South Satellite Pros Pros Meets international gate requirement Meets international gate requirement Widebody gate connection to IAF Yields more gates through Concourse appears better Does not require lidding over S 188th ST Cons Dual taxilanes between new gates and Difficult widebody gates connection to IAF SSAT Requires lidding over S 188th ST Cons Single taxilane between new gates and SSAT Yields fewer gates 22 Terminal: Gates -- North North Piers North Satellite Extension Pros Pros Meets domestic gate requirement Meets domestic gate requirement Straightforward opportunity for second terminal Cons (if required) May not require relocation of southbound lanes of Pushback onto taxiway impacts operations North Airport Expressway (if no second terminal) Limited opportunity for second terminal if required Can more easily phase gates additions Requires relocation of southbound lanes of the Easier to accommodate widebody aircraft North Airport Expressway (NAE) Gate phasing has more impact to existing facilities Cons Limited ability to accommodate widebody aircraft Challenge connecting passengers to the north Challenge connecting passengers to the north 23 Terminal: Check-in Options Main Terminal Expansion Expand Main Terminal to the east and north Expand check-in lobby to the east and north Link screening check-points to APM access to remote gates Expand bag claim to the north 24 Terminal: Check-in Options Additional Terminal to the North Construct second terminal to support north gates Connect existing terminal and north terminal with APM Provide landside access, curb, and parking Provide pedestrian connection to gates over/under North Airport Expressway 25 Terminal Next Steps Detailed analysis of expansion options Cost/benefit of south and north expansion options Cost/benefit and feasibility of terminal expansion to the east/north Capacity analysis to determine if second terminal is needed Incorporate non-terminal functions into overall terminal plan Coordinate terminal-related facilities planning Check-in/Bag drop Curbside Security screening Automated People Mover (APM) Baggage systems Holdrooms; Dining & retail; vertical circulation Airfield and terminal ramp modeling 26 Landside Challenges Upper and Lower Drive expansion difficult Expensive Construction impacts on operations Expressway access to parking / Upper/Lower Drives exceedingly narrow Regional roadways outside of direct Port control SR 509 extension has been delayed for decades Phasing of South Access needs to be modeled and evaluated RCF bus traffic contributes to congestion accessing the drives Anticipated eventual automated people mover when RCF was built 27 Landside Challenges All traffic accessing the airport funnels through a bottleneck on the North Airport Expressway (NAE) Ground Transportation Lot (GT lot) Parking Garage Ramp Apron Light Rail 28 Landside Options - Upper Drive Expansion Widen Upper Drive Add 3rd lane to Upper and Lower Drive access Potentially divert demand to alternate drop-off locations Complex interaction with terminal expansion options 29 Landside Options - Upper Drive in Parking Garage Relocate Upper Drive into garage Enables expansion of main terminal to the east Provides additional clearance on 3rd floor ground transportation curb for buses Provides opportunities for APM connection to main terminal Relocating Upper Drive into garage enables terminal expansion Raising pedestrian bridge to fifth floor provides adequate clearance for buses 30 Landside Next Steps Critical and organic interaction between possible terminal expansion and curb/garage options Continue refining curbside relocation/expansion alternatives Feasibility of required modifications to curbs and garage Cost/benefit Landside modeling Drives capacity/demand analysis Connections to regional roadway system Integration of opportunities, costs, and impacts of terminal and landside options 31 Planning Schedule Activity forecast(completed Q3 2014 in FAA review Q1 2015) Alternatives analysis & plan development(Q4 2014 Q3 2015) Iterative process, finalizing facility requirements and developing preferred development alternative Commission engagement at key decision points Stakeholder & Alternatives Public Analysis Constructability assessment Involvement Phased implementation plan Planning level cost estimates Program plan of finance(Q4 2015 Q1 2016) Stakeholder & Facilities Environmental review(Q3 2015 Q4 2016) Public Requirements Involvement 32 Challenges/Anticipated Actions Near-Term Challenges Shortage of gates over the next 5 to 10 years Where/when to build interim remote gate lobby? Additional gate capacity will be needed soon after completion of IAF & NorthSTAR Check-in processing becoming increasingly efficient, but nearly all existing positions will be utilized in 2015 Security screening rates have increased with implementation of PreCheck, but current configuration of checkpoints is inefficient Anticipated actions prior to completion of SAMP environmental Remote hardstand operations and busing starting in 2016 Potentially construct interim remote gate lobby Expand check-in and reconfigure security checkpoint in zone 7 Provide additional bag drop on promenade level in zone 6 33 Sustainability Draft Strategy for a Sustainable Sea-Tac (S3) Builds on our Environmental Strategy Plan 2009 2014 Includes sustainability objectives, social responsibility and economic sustainability Commission briefing February 10th Draft strategy Spring 2015 S3 integration into SAMP S3 objectives and initiatives evaluated throughout the SAMP process to ensure that capital development is planned in the most sustainable manner possible Environmental sustainability objectives used as part of screening criteria in evaluating concepts Environmental sustainability objectives will be evaluated extensively in proposed new buildings and renovations of existing buildings Final, long-term plan will include management initiatives (in addition to capital improvements) to ensure airport meet its sustainability goals and objectives in future years 34 Public Outreach Public outreach planning Phase I: Series of meetings with local officials and stakeholders Phase II: Conduct 3 public outreach & comment meetings 1st Public Meeting (February-March 2015):SAMP process, goals, forecast, and development concepts 2nd Public Meeting (Spring 2015): Preliminary development alternatives 3rd Public Meeting (Summer 2015): Preferred development alternative 35
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