7b supp
Item No.: 7b supp Meeting Date: Dec. 2, 2014 International Arrivals Facility (IAF) Scope and Budget Update 11/26/2014 1 IAF Key Message Used 3 independent estimating teams to produce cost at 100% Planning/0% Design Prioritized metrics to assist in scope refinement Identified and evaluated 34 possible scope changes/cost savings Engaged airlines in evaluation Identified key additions during process Evaluated the plan of finance Next step: Design/Builder team will help validate cost and schedule, refine scope, value-engineer and advance program 11/26/2014 2 IAF Agenda Today's Briefing Refined Target Metrics for IAF Operations Capital Budget and Funding Program Budget Cost Validation Process Over 5 Months Airline Input Meetings Notification to Design Build Teams Next Briefing Timeline for start of Design and Construction Activities 11/26/2014 3 11/26/2014 4 Evaluation of Capital Plan IAF Update estimate of potential savings and underspending with existing projects Evaluate new needs: List of "delayed approval" projects NSTAR pavement replacement, other? Future projects: Master Plan, Part 150,other? Evaluate alternatives: Defer projects/spending Reduce allowances, replenish with actual savings Increase overall budget Update Plan of Finance based on changes in Capital Plan 11/26/2014 5 IAF IAF Funding Plan: Background & Process Establish cost for IAF October 7 Budget presentation - intent to December briefing absorb IAF cost increase in existing $1.7 billion capital budget through: Projected underspending Evaluate total capital plan on other projects Use of Allowance CIPs January briefing Deferral of 2015 projects Need to reassess due to magnitude of IAF Update funding plan increase January briefing 11/26/2014 6 IAF Program Budget History Initial Budget $344M ($316M Phase 1, $28M Phase 2) (July 2013) Budget Update $631M (Sept. 2014) Program Budget $596M (Dec. 2014) 11/26/2014 7 IAF Scope Analysis & Confirmation Planning Program Document Existing Facility Overlay Combine Scope Evaluate Assumptions & Alternatives Involved Specialist Experts 3 Separate Estimating Teams Test with Airlines and Staff Rebuild Scope and Budget Tested Alternatives Identify Target Budget Range 11/26/2014 8 IAF Assumptions & Alternatives Assumptions Alternatives IAF - full service Reduce Primary Eliminate Recheck Eliminate SSCP Eliminate O&D Use of SSCP Eliminate Accommodation for Growth/Capacity Reduce Bag Claim Reduce Vertical Circulation Changes Sterile Corridor - elevated at Reposition Sterile Corridor Concourse A Reduce number of connected gates Bridge assembled off-site, Construct Bridge in Place transported and installed in Construct Bridge with 2-way place flow 11/26/2014 9 Airline Input Meetings IAF Meeting 1 Meeting 2 Meeting 3 Meeting 4 10/15/2014 10/22/2014 10/29/2014 11/5/2014 Delta Delta Delta Delta Hainan Hainan Hainan Hainan British Air Horizon British Air British Air Alaska ANA Emirates Lufthansa Meetings organized, chaired and recorded by Airline Technical 11/26/2014 Representative a Port/Airlines liaison independent from the project team. 10 IAF Tested Alternatives Example: At Grade Bag Claim & Secondary Screening Cross section through IAF Rejected 11/26/2014 11 IAF Tested Alternatives Example: Bridge Construction in Place Assembly Area at Cargo 2 Rejected 11/26/2014 12 IAF Tested Alternatives Example: Sterile Corridor Within Concourse A Cross Section of Concourse A Rejected 11/26/2014 13 IAF Program Budget Independent Estimator Results (Sept. 2014): $631M Program Alternatives Accepted (deduct): -$ 39.7M Program Alternatives Accepted (add): +$4.7M Resultant Target Budget: $596M Cost Reduction Alternatives Rejected: -$111.6M 11/26/2014 14 IAF Program Cost Reduction Alternatives Considered & Rejected International Arrivals Facility: At grade bag claim and secondary -$32.0M Reduce size of bag claim -$17.7M Delete security checkpoint -$11.5M Eliminate new vertical circulation at GML Hall -$9.1M Remove re-check ticket counter -$6.9M International Corridor: Corridor within Concourse A -$22.0M Bridge: Bridge constructed in place -$12.4M Total -$111.6M 11/26/2014 15 IAF Program Alternatives Accepted (Deducts) Postpone Sterile Corridor A3-A6 -$18.7M Eliminate security checkpoint accommodation for passengers originating in Seattle -$2.9M Ramp to GML Hall -$11.8M Eliminate egress stair enclosures -$6.3M -$39.7M 11/26/2014 16 IAF Program Alternatives Accepted (Adds) Future 2-way Bridge Capability +$4.7M 11/26/2014 17 IAF Program Budget Independent Estimator Results (Sept. 2014): $631M Program Alternatives Accepted (deduct): -$ 39.7M Program Alternatives Accepted (add): +$4.7M Resultant Target Budget: $596M 11/26/2014 18 Range of Cost Certainty IAF 100% Planning, 0% Design $596M DB Validation GMP 50% 40% 30% 20% Variability 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% PLANNING VALIDATION DESIGN Time Adapted from the Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering International variability in estimate accuracy ranges for Building and General Construction Industry 11/26/2014 19 Current Project Scope IAF Major Program Components IAF FIS per CBP Standards Recheck Security Screening Checkpoint for connecting passengers only Provision for future expansion of IAF bag claim Maintain South GT Lot/Allow future domestic baggage system expansion Maintain South Loading Dock Concourse A Elevated corridor with multiple circulation cores Sterile Corridor Provision for future expansion to Gates A3 A6 Bridge Remote assemble, transport and install Provision for future 2-way passenger flow 11/26/2014 20 IAF Notification to Design Builder Teams Notify prospective firms of updated cost range Confirm Statement of Qualifications 12/24/2014 deadline Proposers told to watch this commission briefing so all have the same information on this program 11/26/2014 21 IAF Commission Next Briefing Timeline for start of design and construction activities Update on capital budget and funding plan Next Action Item Authorization to advertise RFP to shortlisted teams Questions? 11/26/2014 22
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